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American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) Stock Analysis

American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.

AAL Stock Analysis Summary

American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) currently has an AIQ Score of 45/100, indicating a neutral setup. Sentiment is the strongest factor at 64/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 25/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 4, 2026 · Market-close data

AAL at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$13.13
AIQ Score45/100
Overall ViewNeutral
Technical Analysis ConsensusStrong Sell
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
Forward P/E
EPS$0.11
Revenue TTM$16.74B
Dividend Yield
Beta
Volume74.08M
52-week range
RSI 14
50-Day SMA$15.26
200-Day SMA$13.93
Analyst Price Target$18.81
Next EarningsOct 22, 2026
As of Sep 4, 2026 · Market close
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AAL

Overview
American Airlines Group Inc.
Industrials· Airlines, Airports & Air Services
AIQ Score
NeutralAIQ Edge 4/10
Low Priority
In Line With Peers
Score data as of Sep 4, 2026
Last price
$13.13
+$0.16 (+1.23%)
Latest market quote
Momentum25
Value62
Quality48
Risk Resilience39
Sentiment64
View financial data

AAL Stock Analysis Summary

American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) currently has an AIQ Score of 45/100, indicating a neutral setup. Sentiment is the strongest factor at 64/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 25/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 4, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Mixed

In a neutral regime, AAL has AIQ Score of 45/100 with Sentiment base of 64/100 and fading Momentum at 25/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Signal Conflict Detected

Sentiment (64/100) leads while Momentum (25/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.

Industrials · 1.23% stock move · AAL classified in Airlines, Airports & Air Services.

Current Evidence

NeutralAAL is in a neutral AIQ regime; Sentiment is the strongest visible factor at 64/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is AAL Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

AAL currently has a neutral overall setup. Sentiment is the strongest factor at 64/100, while Momentum is weakest at 25/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.

Bull Case
  • - Analyst target implies +43.26% upside from the latest quote.
Bear Case
  • - Momentum is weak at 25/100.
  • - Risk Resilience is weak at 39/100.
  • - Technical consensus has more sell votes than buy votes (35 vs 7).

Current Consensus

AAL's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Strong Sell, with 7 buy, 3 neutral, and 35 sell votes.

Signal Confidence
High agreement

What Changed in AAL?

Recent score-change history is not available in the current snapshot. These are the latest market-close scores instead.

AIQ Score
45/100
Momentum
25/100
Quality
48/100
Risk
39/100

What Would Change the AAL Outlook?

The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

AAL Decision Framework

Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for American Airlines Group Inc..

American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) Stock Analysis

American Airlines Group Inc. has an AIQ Score of 45/100 in a Neutral regime. Sentiment is strongest at 64/100. Beta is not shown in the current snapshot. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Evidence LayerPublic Evidence
Regime ContextAAL is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 45/100.
Signal ConflictThe primary conflict is that sentiment leads at 64/100 while momentum lags at 25/100.
Factor EvidenceMomentum 25/100 · Value 62/100 · Quality 48/100 · Risk 39/100 · Sentiment 64/100
PersistenceCurrent snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.

Current Setup Checklist

Factor strengthWait

Sentiment is the strongest factor at 64/100.

TimingFail

Momentum is 25/100 and RSI (14) is 29.6.

Regime fitWait

AAL is in a Neutral regime at 45/100.

Risk controlFail

Risk factor is 39/100 and annual volatility 47.79%.

ConflictWait

Current conflict: sentiment leads at 64/100 while momentum lags at 25/100.

AIQ Score
45/100
Price
$13.13
Beta
RSI (14)
29.6

AAL Research Cluster

Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.

AAL Fundamentals

AAL valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.

Revenue
$16.74B
Net income
$71M
Free cash flow
-$351M
View full AAL fundamental analysis

AAL Technical Analysis

AAL technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Strong Sell
RSI 14
Price vs SMA-50
View full AAL technical analysis

AAL Stock Catalysts

Track AAL earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.

Next earnings
Oct 22, 2026
Analyst target
$18.81
News items
4
View AAL earnings and stock catalysts

AAL Dividend Analysis

AAL dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.

Dividend yield
3.05%
Annual dividend
$0.40
Payout ratio
View AAL dividend history and analysis

AAL Financial Data

AAL revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.

Quarter revenue
$16.74B
EPS
$0.11
Periods
8
View AAL financials

AAL Risk Analysis

AAL volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
Risk score
39/100
1Y volatility
47.79%
View AAL risk analysis

AAL Stock News

AAL stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
4
Updated
Sep 6, 2026
Sentiment
64/100
Read AAL stock news

AAL vs Transportation & Logistics Peers

Current peer cohort: AAL · ALK · CHRW · CSX · DAL. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.

PeerAIQValueMomentumRiskSharpe1Y VolatilityCompare
AAL
Current stock
45/10062/10025/10039/1000.247.79%Current
ALK
Alaska Air Group
42/10060/10035/10039/100-0.651.72%AAL vs ALK
CHRW
C.H. Robinson
55/10059/10052/10061/1000.4644.36%AAL vs CHRW
CSX
CSX Corporation
48/10041/10039/10059/1001.822.34%AAL vs CSX
DAL
Delta Air Lines
51/10071/10031/10050/1000.8139.21%AAL vs DAL
Pairwise Compare links: ALK · CHRW · CSX · DALAAL vs ALKAAL vs CHRWAAL vs CSXAAL vs DALCompare cohort

Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Sep 5, 2026.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current stock evidence.

As of Sep 4, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

Calculator
Calculate a AAL stock return scenario

Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.

Calculate stock return

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

8 recent quarterly periods are available for review.

Checked Sep 6, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

Fundamentals Verdict

Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.

Current TTM P/E
-26.43
As of Sep 4, 2026
Revenue growth
20.29%
Gross margin
21.02%
Current debt / equity
-9
Latest quarterly evidence

Latest period Jun 30, 2026.

Review fundamentals
Quarter revenue
$16.74B
Quarter net income
$71M
Quarter free cash flow
-$351M

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Mixed
Momentum
Bearish
RSI 14
29.56
MACD
-0.59

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
39/100
Beta
Annual volatility
47.79%
Max drawdown
-37.39%

AAL Stock FAQ

What is AAL stock price today?

American Airlines Group Inc.'s current stock price is $13.13. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.

Is AAL bullish or bearish right now?

AAL's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.

What is AAL's market cap?

AAL's market cap belongs on the overview and fundamentals surfaces because it frames company size, valuation, and peer comparisons. When available, use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics.

What is AAL's current P/E ratio?

AAL's P/E ratio is shown in the overview and fundamentals surfaces when available. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.

What is AAL's RSI?

AAL's RSI appears in the technical analysis view when market-close technical data is available. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.

Is AAL above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

AAL's price versus the 50-day and 200-day moving averages helps describe trend confirmation. The overview and technicals page show this context when those moving-average fields are available.

When is AAL's next earnings date?

AAL's next earnings date is currently listed as Oct 22, 2026. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.

Does AAL pay a dividend?

If AAL pays a dividend, the dividends tab shows the latest yield and covered payment history. If it does not, total-return expectations depend more on growth, valuation, and price appreciation.