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Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) Stock Analysis

Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.

ARCC Stock Analysis Summary

Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) currently has an AIQ Score of 58/100, indicating a neutral setup. Momentum is the strongest factor at 76/100. Value is the weakest current factor at 48/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 4, 2026 · Market-close data

ARCC at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$20.04
AIQ Score58/100
Overall ViewNeutral
Technical Analysis ConsensusStrong Buy
Market Cap$14.3B
P/E Ratio10.11
Forward P/E
EPS$0.24
Revenue TTM$768M
Dividend Yield0.03%
Beta0.62
Volume2.53M
52-week range$17.40-$22.51
RSI 1467.86
50-Day SMA$19.29
200-Day SMA$19.29
Analyst Price Target$19.00
Next EarningsOct 27, 2026
As of Sep 4, 2026 · Market close
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ARCC

Overview
Ares Capital Corporation
Financial Services· Asset Management
AIQ Score
NeutralAIQ Edge 7/10
Low Priority
Above Peers
Score data as of Sep 4, 2026
Last price
$20.04
+$0.03 (+0.15%)
Latest market quote
Momentum76
Value48
Quality50
Risk Resilience62
Sentiment
View financial data

ARCC Stock Analysis Summary

Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) currently has an AIQ Score of 58/100, indicating a neutral setup. Momentum is the strongest factor at 76/100. Value is the weakest current factor at 48/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 4, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Mixed

In a neutral regime, ARCC has AIQ Score of 58/100 with Momentum base of 76/100 and fading Value at 48/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Signal Conflict Detected

Momentum (76/100) leads while Value (48/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.

Financial Services · 0.15% stock move · ARCC classified in Asset Management.

Current Evidence

NeutralARCC is in a neutral AIQ regime; Momentum is the strongest visible factor at 76/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is ARCC Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

ARCC currently has a neutral overall setup. Momentum is the strongest factor at 76/100, while Value is weakest at 48/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.

Bull Case
  • - Momentum is constructive at 76/100.
  • - Risk Resilience is supportive at 62/100.
  • - Price is +3.88% above its 50-day SMA.
  • - Technical consensus has more buy votes than sell votes (31 vs 5).
Bear Case
  • - Analyst target implies -5.19% downside from the latest quote.

Current Consensus

ARCC's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Strong Buy, with 31 buy, 9 neutral, and 5 sell votes. ARCC's 14-day RSI is 67.86, which places the stock in a constructive momentum range. ARCC's beta is 0.62, indicating lower market sensitivity than the broad market.

Signal Confidence
High agreement

What Changed in ARCC?

Recent score-change history is not available in the current snapshot. These are the latest market-close scores instead.

AIQ Score
58/100
Momentum
76/100
Quality
50/100
Risk
62/100

What Would Change the ARCC Outlook?

The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

ARCC Decision Framework

Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for Ares Capital Corporation.

Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) Stock Analysis

Ares Capital Corporation has an AIQ Score of 58/100 in a Neutral regime. Momentum is strongest at 76/100. Beta is 0.62, below market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Evidence LayerPublic Evidence
Regime ContextARCC is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 58/100.
Signal ConflictThe primary conflict is that momentum leads at 76/100 while value lags at 48/100.
Factor EvidenceMomentum 76/100 · Value 48/100 · Quality 50/100 · Risk 62/100
PersistenceCurrent snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.

Current Setup Checklist

Factor strengthPass

Momentum is the strongest factor at 76/100.

TimingPass

Momentum is 76/100 and RSI (14) is 67.9.

Regime fitWait

ARCC is in a Neutral regime at 58/100.

Risk controlWait

Risk factor is 62/100 with beta 0.62 and annual volatility 20.34%.

ConflictWait

Current conflict: momentum leads at 76/100 while value lags at 48/100.

AIQ Score
58/100
Price
$20.04
Beta
0.62
RSI (14)
67.9

ARCC Research Cluster

Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.

ARCC Fundamentals

ARCC valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.

Revenue
$768M
Net income
$171M
Free cash flow
$336M
View full ARCC fundamental analysis

ARCC Technical Analysis

ARCC technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Strong Buy
RSI 14
67.86
Price vs SMA-50
+3.88%
View full ARCC technical analysis

ARCC Stock Catalysts

Track ARCC earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.

Next earnings
Oct 27, 2026
Analyst target
$19.00
News items
5
View ARCC earnings and stock catalysts

ARCC Dividend Analysis

ARCC dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.

Dividend yield
9.58%
Annual dividend
$1.92
Payout ratio
View ARCC dividend history and analysis

ARCC Financial Data

ARCC revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.

Quarter revenue
$768M
EPS
$0.24
Periods
8
View ARCC financials

ARCC Risk Analysis

ARCC volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
0.62
Risk score
62/100
1Y volatility
20.34%
View ARCC risk analysis

ARCC Stock News

ARCC stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
5
Updated
Sep 6, 2026
Sentiment
Read ARCC stock news

ARCC vs BDCs / Private Credit Peers

Current peer cohort: ARCC · FSK · GBDC · GOOD · HTGC. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.

PeerAIQValueMomentumRiskSharpe1Y VolatilityCompare
ARCC
Current stock
58/10048/10076/10062/100-0.6320.34%Current
FSK
FS KKR Capital
57/10058/10076/10060/100-1.0733.18%ARCC vs FSK
GBDC
Golub Capital BDC
46/10051/10036/10057/100-0.720.89%ARCC vs GBDC
GOOD
Gladstone Commercial
51/10066/10067/10060/100-0.122.84%ARCC vs GOOD
HTGC
Hercules Capital
61/10050/10078/10052/100-0.4324.34%ARCC vs HTGC
Pairwise Compare links: FSK · GBDC · GOOD · HTGCARCC vs FSKARCC vs GBDCARCC vs GOODARCC vs HTGCCompare cohort

Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Sep 5, 2026.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current stock evidence.

As of Sep 4, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

Calculator
Calculate a ARCC stock return scenario

Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.

Calculate stock return

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

8 recent quarterly periods are available for review.

Checked Sep 7, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

Fundamentals Verdict

Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.

Current TTM P/E
14.75
As of Sep 4, 2026
Revenue growth
120.06%
Gross margin
67.04%
Current debt / equity
1.14
Latest quarterly evidence

Latest period Jun 30, 2026.

Review fundamentals
Quarter revenue
$768M
Quarter net income
$171M
Quarter free cash flow
$336M

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Bullish
Momentum
Mixed
RSI 14
67.86
MACD
0.2

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
62/100
Beta
0.62
Annual volatility
20.34%
Max drawdown
-22.41%

ARCC Stock FAQ

What is ARCC stock price today?

Ares Capital Corporation's current stock price is $20.04. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.

Is ARCC bullish or bearish right now?

ARCC's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.

What is ARCC's market cap?

ARCC's market cap is $14.3B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.

What is ARCC's current P/E ratio?

ARCC's current P/E ratio is 10.11 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.

What is ARCC's RSI?

ARCC's 14-day RSI is 67.86 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.

Is ARCC above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

ARCC is 3.88% from its 50-day SMA and 3.89% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.

When is ARCC's next earnings date?

ARCC's next earnings date is currently listed as Oct 27, 2026. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.

Does ARCC pay a dividend?

ARCC's dividend yield is 0.03% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.