Stock Analysis
Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) Stock Analysis
Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.
Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) currently has an AIQ Score of 47/100, indicating a neutral setup. Risk is the strongest factor at 57/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 39/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.
ARCC at a Glance
Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.
| Metric | Current |
|---|---|
| Price | $18.64 |
| AIQ Score | 47/100 |
| Overall View | Neutral |
| Technical Analysis Consensus | Sell |
| Market Cap | $14.3B |
| P/E Ratio (TTM) | 14.75 |
| Forward P/E | — |
| EPS (quarter ended 2026-06-30) | $0.24 |
| Revenue (quarter ended 2026-06-30) | $768M |
| Dividend Yield (TTM) | 9.64% |
| Beta | 0.62 |
| Volume | 4.79M |
| 52-week range | $17.40-$21.14 |
| RSI 14 | 46.54 |
| 50-Day SMA | $19.32 |
| 200-Day SMA | $19.07 |
| Analyst Price Target | $19.00 |
| Next Earnings | Oct 27, 2026 |
ARCCAres Capital Corporation
Financial Services / Asset Management
Low Priority
Relative Laggard
Latest quote
- Momentum39
- Value47
- Quality50
- Risk resilience57
- Sentiment—
ARCC Stock Analysis Summary
Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) currently has an AIQ Score of 47/100, indicating a neutral setup. Risk resilience is the strongest factor at 57/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 39/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.
In a neutral regime, ARCC has AIQ Score of 47/100 with Risk resilience base of 57/100 and fading Momentum at 39/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.
Financial Services · -0.80% stock move · ARCC classified in Asset Management.
Current Evidence
AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary
Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.
Is ARCC Bullish or Bearish Right Now?
ARCC currently has a neutral overall setup. Risk Resilience is the strongest factor at 57/100, while Momentum is weakest at 39/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.
- - Analyst target implies +1.93% upside from the latest quote.
- - Momentum is weak at 39/100.
- - Price is -2.24% below its 200-day SMA.
- - Technical consensus has more sell votes than buy votes (28 vs 6).
Current Consensus
ARCC's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Sell, with 6 buy, 11 neutral, and 28 sell votes. ARCC's 14-day RSI is 46.54, which places the stock in a neutral momentum range. ARCC's beta is 0.62, indicating lower market sensitivity than the broad market.
What Changed in ARCC?
The largest recent change in ARCC is Momentum moving up by 2.0 points over the available 7-day comparison window. Risk Resilience remains the strongest visible factor.
What Would Change the ARCC Outlook?
The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.
AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.
AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.
ARCC Decision Framework
Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for Ares Capital Corporation.
Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) Stock Analysis
Ares Capital Corporation has an AIQ Score of 47/100 in a Neutral regime. Risk is strongest at 57/100. Beta is 0.66, below market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.
| Evidence Layer | Public Evidence |
|---|---|
| Regime Context | ARCC is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 47/100. |
| Signal Conflict | The primary conflict is that risk leads at 57/100 while momentum lags at 39/100. |
| Factor Evidence | Momentum 39/100 · Value 47/100 · Quality 50/100 · Risk 57/100 |
| Persistence | Current snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro. |
Current Setup Checklist
Risk is the strongest factor at 57/100.
Momentum is 39/100 and RSI (14) is 46.5.
ARCC is in a Neutral regime at 47/100.
Risk factor is 57/100 with beta 0.66 and annual volatility 19.29%.
Current conflict: risk leads at 57/100 while momentum lags at 39/100.
ARCC Research Cluster
Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.
ARCC Fundamentals
ARCC valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.
ARCC Technical Analysis
ARCC technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.
ARCC Stock Catalysts
Track ARCC earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.
ARCC Dividend Analysis
ARCC dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.
ARCC Financial Data
ARCC revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.
ARCC Risk Analysis
ARCC volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.
ARCC Stock News
ARCC stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.
ARCC vs BDCs / Private Credit Peers
Current peer cohort: ARCC · FSK · GBDC · GOOD · HTGC. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.
| Peer | AIQ | Value | Momentum | Risk | Sharpe | 1Y Volatility | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARCC Current stock | 47/100 | 47/100 | 39/100 | 57/100 | -0.46 | 19.29% | Current |
| FSK FS KKR Capital | 45/100 | 57/100 | 31/100 | 57/100 | -1.07 | 33.01% | ARCC vs FSK |
| GBDC Golub Capital BDC | 46/100 | 50/100 | 35/100 | 55/100 | -0.83 | 20.24% | ARCC vs GBDC |
| GOOD Gladstone Commercial | 40/100 | 66/100 | 27/100 | 53/100 | 0.14 | 23.37% | ARCC vs GOOD |
| HTGC Hercules Capital | 52/100 | 49/100 | 43/100 | 52/100 | -0.33 | 23.79% | ARCC vs HTGC |
Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Oct 23, 2026.
About the AIQ Score
Methodology for the current stock evidence.
The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.
View AIQ methodologyFactor Diagnostics
A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.
Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.
AIQ Component Profile
Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.
Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.
Open catalysts3 recent quarterly periods are available for review.
Checked Oct 24, 2026
Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.
Fundamentals Verdict
Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.
Latest period Jun 30, 2026.
Market Confirmation
Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.
Risk Alignment
Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.
Continue Researching ARCC
Open the detailed evidence pages and workflows behind the stock overview read.
Premium Feature
Full AIQ Analysis
AIQ Intelligence
AIQ Pro for ARCC
Scenario Analysis
AIQ Scenario Builder
Portfolio Implication
Related Links
ARCC Stock FAQ
What is ARCC stock price today?
Ares Capital Corporation's current stock price is $18.64. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.
Is ARCC bullish or bearish right now?
ARCC's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.
What is ARCC's market cap?
ARCC's market cap is $14.3B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 23, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.
What is ARCC's current P/E ratio?
ARCC's current P/E ratio is 14.75 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 23, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.
What is ARCC's RSI?
ARCC's 14-day RSI is 46.54 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 23, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.
Is ARCC above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?
ARCC is -3.53% from its 50-day SMA and -2.24% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 23, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.
When is ARCC's next earnings date?
ARCC's next earnings date is currently listed as Oct 27, 2026. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.
Does ARCC pay a dividend?
ARCC's dividend yield is 9.64% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 23, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.