Stock Analysis
Golub Capital BDC, Inc. (GBDC) Stock Analysis
Golub Capital BDC, Inc. (GBDC) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.
Golub Capital BDC, Inc. (GBDC) currently has an AIQ Score of 46/100, indicating a neutral setup. Risk is the strongest factor at 57/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 36/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.
GBDC at a Glance
Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.
| Metric | Current |
|---|---|
| Price | $13.00 |
| AIQ Score | 46/100 |
| Overall View | Neutral |
| Technical Analysis Consensus | Strong Sell |
| Market Cap | $3.36B |
| P/E Ratio | 8.89 |
| Forward P/E | — |
| EPS | $0.12 |
| Revenue TTM | $159.52M |
| Dividend Yield | 0.02% |
| Beta | 0.42 |
| Volume | 918.23K |
| 52-week range | $11.77-$14.85 |
| RSI 14 | 43.75 |
| 50-Day SMA | $13.00 |
| 200-Day SMA | $13.08 |
| Analyst Price Target | $14.50 |
| Next Earnings | Nov 17, 2026 |
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GBDC
OverviewGBDC Stock Analysis Summary
Golub Capital BDC, Inc. (GBDC) currently has an AIQ Score of 46/100, indicating a neutral setup. Risk resilience is the strongest factor at 57/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 36/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.
In a neutral regime, GBDC has AIQ Score of 46/100 with Risk resilience base of 57/100 and fading Momentum at 36/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.
Risk resilience (57/100) leads while Momentum (36/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.
Financial Services · 0.23% stock move · GBDC classified in Asset Management.
Current Evidence
AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary
Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.
Is GBDC Bullish or Bearish Right Now?
GBDC currently has a neutral overall setup. Risk Resilience is the strongest factor at 57/100, while Momentum is weakest at 36/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.
- - Analyst target implies +11.54% upside from the latest quote.
- - Momentum is weak at 36/100.
- - Price is -0.62% below its 200-day SMA.
- - Technical consensus has more sell votes than buy votes (30 vs 5).
Current Consensus
GBDC's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Strong Sell, with 5 buy, 10 neutral, and 30 sell votes. GBDC's 14-day RSI is 43.75, which places the stock in a weaker momentum range. GBDC's beta is 0.42, indicating lower market sensitivity than the broad market.
What Changed in GBDC?
Recent score-change history is not available in the current snapshot. These are the latest market-close scores instead.
What Would Change the GBDC Outlook?
The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.
AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.
AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.
GBDC Decision Framework
Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for Golub Capital BDC, Inc..
Golub Capital BDC, Inc. (GBDC) Stock Analysis
Golub Capital BDC, Inc. has an AIQ Score of 46/100 in a Neutral regime. Risk is strongest at 57/100. Beta is 0.42, below market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.
| Evidence Layer | Public Evidence |
|---|---|
| Regime Context | GBDC is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 46/100. |
| Signal Conflict | The primary conflict is that risk leads at 57/100 while momentum lags at 36/100. |
| Factor Evidence | Momentum 36/100 · Value 51/100 · Quality 45/100 · Risk 57/100 |
| Persistence | Current snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro. |
Current Setup Checklist
Risk is the strongest factor at 57/100.
Momentum is 36/100 and RSI (14) is 43.8.
GBDC is in a Neutral regime at 46/100.
Risk factor is 57/100 with beta 0.42 and annual volatility 20.89%.
Current conflict: risk leads at 57/100 while momentum lags at 36/100.
GBDC Research Cluster
Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.
GBDC Fundamentals
GBDC valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.
GBDC Technical Analysis
GBDC technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.
GBDC Stock Catalysts
Track GBDC earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.
GBDC Dividend Analysis
GBDC dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.
GBDC Financial Data
GBDC revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.
GBDC Risk Analysis
GBDC volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.
GBDC Stock News
GBDC stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.
GBDC vs BDCs / Private Credit Peers
Current peer cohort: GBDC · GOOD · HTGC · MAIN · OBDC. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.
| Peer | AIQ | Value | Momentum | Risk | Sharpe | 1Y Volatility | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBDC Current stock | 46/100 | 51/100 | 36/100 | 57/100 | -0.7 | 20.89% | Current |
| GOOD Gladstone Commercial | 51/100 | 66/100 | 67/100 | 60/100 | -0.1 | 22.84% | GBDC vs GOOD |
| HTGC Hercules Capital | 61/100 | 50/100 | 78/100 | 52/100 | -0.43 | 24.34% | GBDC vs HTGC |
| MAIN Main Street Capital | 53/100 | 38/100 | 56/100 | 61/100 | -0.58 | 25.77% | GBDC vs MAIN |
| OBDC Blue Owl Capital BDC | 52/100 | 54/100 | 51/100 | 52/100 | -0.99 | 24.41% | GBDC vs OBDC |
Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Sep 5, 2026.
About the AIQ Score
Methodology for the current stock evidence.
The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.
View AIQ methodologyFactor Diagnostics
A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.
Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.
AIQ Component Profile
Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.
Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.
Open catalysts8 recent quarterly periods are available for review.
Checked Sep 7, 2026
Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.
Fundamentals Verdict
Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.
Latest period Jun 30, 2026.
Market Confirmation
Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.
Risk Alignment
Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.
Continue Researching GBDC
Open the detailed evidence pages and workflows behind the stock overview read.
Premium Feature
Full AIQ Analysis
AIQ Intelligence
AIQ Pro for GBDC
Scenario Analysis
AIQ Scenario Builder
Portfolio Implication
Related Links
GBDC Stock FAQ
What is GBDC stock price today?
Golub Capital BDC, Inc.'s current stock price is $13.00. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.
Is GBDC bullish or bearish right now?
GBDC's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.
What is GBDC's market cap?
GBDC's market cap is $3.36B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.
What is GBDC's current P/E ratio?
GBDC's current P/E ratio is 8.89 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.
What is GBDC's RSI?
GBDC's 14-day RSI is 43.75 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.
Is GBDC above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?
GBDC is -0.00% from its 50-day SMA and -0.62% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.
When is GBDC's next earnings date?
GBDC's next earnings date is currently listed as Nov 17, 2026. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.
Does GBDC pay a dividend?
GBDC's dividend yield is 0.02% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.