Stock Analysis
Hercules Capital, Inc. (HTGC) Stock Analysis
Hercules Capital, Inc. (HTGC) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.
Hercules Capital, Inc. (HTGC) currently has an AIQ Score of 50/100, indicating a neutral setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 62/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 35/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.
HTGC at a Glance
Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.
| Metric | Current |
|---|---|
| Price | $16.27 |
| AIQ Score | 50/100 |
| Overall View | Neutral |
| Technical Analysis Consensus | Strong Sell |
| Market Cap | $3.31B |
| P/E Ratio (TTM) | 8.45 |
| Forward P/E | — |
| EPS (quarter ended 2026-06-30) | $0.70 |
| Revenue (quarter ended 2026-06-30) | $156.82M |
| Dividend Yield (TTM) | 11.04% |
| Beta | 0.74 |
| Volume | 909.38K |
| 52-week range | $13.70-$19.13 |
| RSI 14 | 34.56 |
| 50-Day SMA | $17.04 |
| 200-Day SMA | $16.23 |
| Analyst Price Target | $15.50 |
| Next Earnings | Oct 29, 2026 |
HTGCHercules Capital, Inc.
Financial Services / Asset Management
Low Priority
In Line With Peers
Latest quote
- Momentum35
- Value49
- Quality62
- Risk resilience52
- Sentiment—
HTGC Stock Analysis Summary
Hercules Capital, Inc. (HTGC) currently has an AIQ Score of 50/100, indicating a neutral setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 62/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 35/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.
In a neutral regime, HTGC has AIQ Score of 50/100 with Quality base of 62/100 and fading Momentum at 35/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.
Quality (62/100) leads while Momentum (35/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.
Financial Services · -0.06% stock move · HTGC classified in Asset Management.
Current Evidence
AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary
Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.
Is HTGC Bullish or Bearish Right Now?
HTGC currently has a neutral overall setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 62/100, while Momentum is weakest at 35/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.
- - Quality is supportive at 62/100.
- - Momentum is weak at 35/100.
- - Analyst target implies -4.73% downside from the latest quote.
- - Technical consensus has more sell votes than buy votes (36 vs 2).
Current Consensus
HTGC's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Strong Sell, with 2 buy, 7 neutral, and 36 sell votes. HTGC's 14-day RSI is 34.56, which places the stock in a weaker momentum range. HTGC's beta is 0.74, indicating lower market sensitivity than the broad market.
What Changed in HTGC?
The largest recent change in HTGC is Momentum moving down by 1.0 points over the available 7-day comparison window. Quality remains the strongest visible factor.
What Would Change the HTGC Outlook?
The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.
AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.
AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.
HTGC Decision Framework
Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for Hercules Capital, Inc..
Hercules Capital, Inc. (HTGC) Stock Analysis
Hercules Capital, Inc. has an AIQ Score of 50/100 in a Neutral regime. Quality is strongest at 62/100. Beta is 0.76, below market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.
| Evidence Layer | Public Evidence |
|---|---|
| Regime Context | HTGC is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 50/100. |
| Signal Conflict | The primary conflict is that quality leads at 62/100 while momentum lags at 35/100. |
| Factor Evidence | Momentum 35/100 · Value 49/100 · Quality 62/100 · Risk 52/100 |
| Persistence | Current snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro. |
Current Setup Checklist
Quality is the strongest factor at 62/100.
Momentum is 35/100 and RSI (14) is 34.6.
HTGC is in a Neutral regime at 50/100.
Risk factor is 52/100 with beta 0.76 and annual volatility 23.81%.
Current conflict: quality leads at 62/100 while momentum lags at 35/100.
HTGC Research Cluster
Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.
HTGC Fundamentals
HTGC valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.
HTGC Technical Analysis
HTGC technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.
HTGC Stock Catalysts
Track HTGC earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.
HTGC Dividend Analysis
HTGC dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.
HTGC Financial Data
HTGC revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.
HTGC Risk Analysis
HTGC volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.
HTGC Stock News
HTGC stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.
HTGC vs BDCs / Private Credit Peers
Current peer cohort: HTGC · MAIN · OBDC · PSEC · TPVG. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.
| Peer | AIQ | Value | Momentum | Risk | Sharpe | 1Y Volatility | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HTGC Current stock | 50/100 | 49/100 | 35/100 | 52/100 | -0.35 | 23.81% | Current |
| MAIN Main Street Capital | 45/100 | 37/100 | 25/100 | 60/100 | -0.39 | 24.25% | HTGC vs MAIN |
| OBDC Blue Owl Capital BDC | 45/100 | 53/100 | 26/100 | 50/100 | -1.1 | 23.92% | HTGC vs OBDC |
| PSEC Prospect Capital | 50/100 | 70/100 | 25/100 | 37/100 | -1.6 | 36.81% | HTGC vs PSEC |
| TPVG TriplePoint Venture Growth | 47/100 | 63/100 | 25/100 | 40/100 | -0.73 | 35.62% | HTGC vs TPVG |
Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Oct 21, 2026.
About the AIQ Score
Methodology for the current stock evidence.
The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.
View AIQ methodologyFactor Diagnostics
A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.
Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.
AIQ Component Profile
Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.
Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.
Open catalysts7 recent quarterly periods are available for review.
Checked Oct 22, 2026
Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.
Fundamentals Verdict
Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.
Latest period Jun 30, 2026.
Market Confirmation
Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.
Risk Alignment
Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.
Continue Researching HTGC
Open the detailed evidence pages and workflows behind the stock overview read.
Premium Feature
Full AIQ Analysis
AIQ Intelligence
AIQ Pro for HTGC
Scenario Analysis
AIQ Scenario Builder
Portfolio Implication
Related Links
HTGC Stock FAQ
What is HTGC stock price today?
Hercules Capital, Inc.'s current stock price is $16.27. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.
Is HTGC bullish or bearish right now?
HTGC's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.
What is HTGC's market cap?
HTGC's market cap is $3.31B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.
What is HTGC's current P/E ratio?
HTGC's current P/E ratio is 8.45 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.
What is HTGC's RSI?
HTGC's 14-day RSI is 34.56 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.
Is HTGC above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?
HTGC is -4.51% from its 50-day SMA and 0.25% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.
When is HTGC's next earnings date?
HTGC's next earnings date is currently listed as Oct 29, 2026. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.
Does HTGC pay a dividend?
HTGC's dividend yield is 11.04% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.