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The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) Stock Analysis

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.

CAKE Stock Analysis Summary

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) currently has an AIQ Score of 52/100, indicating a neutral setup. Momentum is the strongest factor at 66/100. Value is the weakest current factor at 38/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 30, 2026 · Market-close data

CAKE at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$112.64
AIQ Score52/100
Overall ViewNeutral
Technical Analysis ConsensusBuy
Market Cap$5.38B
P/E Ratio (TTM)28.29
Forward P/E—
EPS (quarter ended 2026-06-30)$1.47
Revenue (quarter ended 2026-06-30)$1.03B
Dividend Yield (TTM)1.08%
Beta1
Volume1.66M
52-week range$43.07-$118.63
RSI 1457.09
50-Day SMA$107.90
200-Day SMA$79.41
Analyst Price Target$93.94
Next EarningsFeb 17, 2027
As of Oct 30, 2026 · Market close

CAKEThe Cheesecake Factory Incorporated

Consumer Cyclical / Restaurants

Low Priority

Above Peers

NeutralEdge 6/10
$112.64−$0.48 (−0.42%)

Latest quote

  • Momentum
    66
  • Value
    38
  • Quality
    60
  • Risk resilience
    41
  • Sentiment
    —
algovestiq.comScore data as of Oct 30, 2026

CAKE Stock Analysis Summary

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) currently has an AIQ Score of 52/100, indicating a neutral setup. Momentum is the strongest factor at 66/100. Value is the weakest current factor at 38/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 30, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Mixed

In a neutral regime, CAKE has AIQ Score of 52/100 with Momentum base of 66/100 and fading Value at 38/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Signal Conflict Detected

Momentum (66/100) leads while Value (38/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.

Consumer Cyclical · -0.42% stock move · CAKE classified in Restaurants.

Current Evidence

NeutralCAKE is in a neutral AIQ regime; Momentum is the strongest visible factor at 66/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is CAKE Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

CAKE currently has a neutral overall setup. Momentum is the strongest factor at 66/100, while Value is weakest at 38/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.

Bull Case
  • - Quality is supportive at 60/100.
  • - Momentum is constructive at 66/100.
  • - Price is +4.84% above its 50-day SMA.
  • - Technical consensus has more buy votes than sell votes (30 vs 8).
Bear Case
  • - Value is the current constraint at 38/100.
  • - Risk Resilience is weak at 41/100.
  • - Analyst target implies -16.60% downside from the latest quote.

Current Consensus

CAKE's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Buy, with 30 buy, 7 neutral, and 8 sell votes. CAKE's 14-day RSI is 57.09, which places the stock in a constructive momentum range. CAKE's beta is 1, indicating market sensitivity broadly in line with the market.

Signal Confidence
High agreement

What Changed in CAKE?

The largest recent change in CAKE is Risk Resilience moving down by 8.0 points over the available 7-day comparison window. Momentum remains the strongest visible factor.

AIQ Score
-2.0
Momentum
-3.0
Quality
+0.0
Risk
-8.0

What Would Change the CAKE Outlook?

The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

CAKE Decision Framework

Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated.

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) Stock Analysis

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated has an AIQ Score of 52/100 in a Neutral regime. Momentum is strongest at 66/100. Beta is 1.04, close to market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Evidence LayerPublic Evidence
Regime ContextCAKE is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 52/100.
Signal ConflictThe primary conflict is that momentum leads at 66/100 while value lags at 38/100.
Factor EvidenceMomentum 66/100 · Value 38/100 · Quality 60/100 · Risk 41/100
PersistenceCurrent snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.

Current Setup Checklist

Factor strengthPass

Momentum is the strongest factor at 66/100.

TimingPass

Momentum is 66/100 and RSI (14) is 57.1.

Regime fitWait

CAKE is in a Neutral regime at 52/100.

Risk controlWait

Risk factor is 41/100 with beta 1.04 and annual volatility 39.43%.

ConflictWait

Current conflict: momentum leads at 66/100 while value lags at 38/100.

AIQ Score
52/100
Price
$112.64
Beta
1.04
RSI (14)
57.1

CAKE Research Cluster

Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.

CAKE Fundamentals

CAKE valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.

Revenue
$1.03B
Net income
$68.39M
Free cash flow
$50.44M
View full CAKE fundamental analysis

CAKE Technical Analysis

CAKE technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Buy
RSI 14
57.09
Price vs SMA-50
+4.84%
View full CAKE technical analysis

CAKE Stock Catalysts

Track CAKE earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.

Next earnings
Feb 17, 2027
Analyst target
$93.94
News items
0
View CAKE earnings and stock catalysts

CAKE Dividend Analysis

CAKE dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.

Dividend yield
1.04%
Annual dividend
$1.17
Payout ratio
30.96%
View CAKE dividend history and analysis

CAKE Financial Data

CAKE revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.

Quarter revenue
$1.03B
EPS
$1.47
Periods
3
View CAKE financials

CAKE Risk Analysis

CAKE volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
1
Risk score
41/100
1Y volatility
39.43%
View CAKE risk analysis

CAKE Stock News

CAKE stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
0
Updated
—
Sentiment
—
Read CAKE stock news

CAKE vs Restaurants & Food Service Peers

Current peer cohort: CAKE · CAVA · CMG · DNUT · DPZ. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.

PeerAIQValueMomentumRiskSharpe1Y VolatilityCompare
CAKE
Current stock
52/10038/10066/10041/1002.1639.43%Current
CAVA
CAVA Group
41/10024/10066/10039/1000.261.56%CAKE vs CAVA
CMG
Chipotle Mexican Grill
39/10025/10041/10037/100-0.4144.21%CAKE vs CMG
DNUT
Krispy Kreme
47/10042/10065/10041/100-0.0759.05%CAKE vs DNUT
DPZ
Domino's Pizza
45/10042/10048/10042/100-0.8131.25%CAKE vs DPZ
Pairwise Compare links: CAVA · CMG · DNUT · DPZCAKE vs CAVACAKE vs CMGCAKE vs DNUTCAKE vs DPZCompare cohort

Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Oct 29, 2026.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current stock evidence.

As of Oct 30, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

Calculator
Calculate a CAKE stock return scenario

Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.

Calculate stock return

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

3 recent quarterly periods are available for review.

Checked Oct 31, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

Fundamentals Verdict

Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.

Current TTM P/E
28.29
As of Oct 29, 2026
Revenue growth
—
Gross margin
46.42%
Current debt / equity
4.01
Latest quarterly evidence

Latest period Jun 30, 2026.

Review fundamentals
Quarter revenue
$1.03B
Quarter net income
$68.39M
Quarter free cash flow
$50.44M

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Bullish
Momentum
Mixed
RSI 14
57.09
MACD
1.1

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
41/100
Beta
1.04
Annual volatility
39.43%
Max drawdown
-18.26%

CAKE Stock FAQ

What is CAKE stock price today?

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated's current stock price is $112.64. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.

Is CAKE bullish or bearish right now?

CAKE's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.

What is CAKE's market cap?

CAKE's market cap is $5.38B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.

What is CAKE's current P/E ratio?

CAKE's current P/E ratio is 28.29 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.

What is CAKE's RSI?

CAKE's 14-day RSI is 57.09 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.

Is CAKE above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

CAKE is 4.84% from its 50-day SMA and 42.44% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.

When is CAKE's next earnings date?

CAKE's next earnings date is currently listed as Feb 17, 2027. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.

Does CAKE pay a dividend?

CAKE's dividend yield is 1.08% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.