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The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) Stock Analysis

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.

CAKE Stock Analysis Summary

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) currently has an AIQ Score of 45/100, indicating a neutral setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 60/100. Value is the weakest current factor at 38/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 11, 2026 · Market-close data

CAKE at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$102.70
AIQ Score45/100
Overall ViewNeutral
Technical Analysis ConsensusSell
Market Cap$5.38B
P/E Ratio25.99
Forward P/E
EPS$1.47
Revenue TTM$1.03B
Dividend Yield0.00%
Beta1
Volume1.23M
52-week range$43.07-$118.46
RSI 1428.89
50-Day SMA$99.02
200-Day SMA$69.82
Analyst Price Target$78.82
Next EarningsOct 27, 2026
As of Sep 11, 2026 · Market close

CAKE

Overview
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated
Consumer Cyclical· Restaurants
AIQ Score
NeutralAIQ Edge 5/10
Low Priority
In Line With Peers
Score data as of Sep 11, 2026
Last price
$102.70
+$1.54 (+1.52%)
Latest market quote
Momentum39
Value38
Quality60
Risk Resilience42
Sentiment
View financial data

CAKE Stock Analysis Summary

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) currently has an AIQ Score of 45/100, indicating a neutral setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 60/100. Value is the weakest current factor at 38/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 11, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Mixed

In a neutral regime, CAKE has AIQ Score of 45/100 with Quality base of 60/100 and fading Value at 38/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Signal Conflict Detected

Quality (60/100) leads while Value (38/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.

Consumer Cyclical · 1.52% stock move · CAKE classified in Restaurants.

Current Evidence

NeutralCAKE is in a neutral AIQ regime; Quality is the strongest visible factor at 60/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is CAKE Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

CAKE currently has a neutral overall setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 60/100, while Value is weakest at 38/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.

Bull Case
  • - Quality is supportive at 60/100.
  • - Price is +3.71% above its 50-day SMA.
Bear Case
  • - Value is the current constraint at 38/100.
  • - Momentum is weak at 39/100.
  • - Risk Resilience is weak at 42/100.
  • - Analyst target implies -23.25% downside from the latest quote.
  • - Technical consensus has more sell votes than buy votes (28 vs 16).

Current Consensus

CAKE's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Sell, with 16 buy, 1 neutral, and 28 sell votes. CAKE's 14-day RSI is 28.89, which places the stock in an oversold momentum range. CAKE's beta is 1, indicating market sensitivity broadly in line with the market.

Signal Confidence
High agreement

What Changed in CAKE?

Recent score-change history is not available in the current snapshot. These are the latest market-close scores instead.

AIQ Score
45/100
Momentum
39/100
Quality
60/100
Risk
42/100

What Would Change the CAKE Outlook?

The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

CAKE Decision Framework

Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated.

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) Stock Analysis

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated has an AIQ Score of 45/100 in a Neutral regime. Quality is strongest at 60/100. Beta is 1, close to market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Evidence LayerPublic Evidence
Regime ContextCAKE is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 45/100.
Signal ConflictThe primary conflict is that quality leads at 60/100 while value lags at 38/100.
Factor EvidenceMomentum 39/100 · Value 38/100 · Quality 60/100 · Risk 42/100
PersistenceCurrent snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.

Current Setup Checklist

Factor strengthWait

Quality is the strongest factor at 60/100.

TimingFail

Momentum is 39/100 and RSI (14) is 28.9.

Regime fitWait

CAKE is in a Neutral regime at 45/100.

Risk controlWait

Risk factor is 42/100 with beta 1 and annual volatility 38.48%.

ConflictWait

Current conflict: quality leads at 60/100 while value lags at 38/100.

AIQ Score
45/100
Price
$102.70
Beta
1
RSI (14)
28.9

CAKE Research Cluster

Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.

CAKE Fundamentals

CAKE valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.

Revenue
$1.03B
Net income
$68.39M
Free cash flow
$50.44M
View full CAKE fundamental analysis

CAKE Technical Analysis

CAKE technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Sell
RSI 14
28.89
Price vs SMA-50
+3.71%
View full CAKE technical analysis

CAKE Stock Catalysts

Track CAKE earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.

Next earnings
Oct 27, 2026
Analyst target
$78.82
News items
4
View CAKE earnings and stock catalysts

CAKE Dividend Analysis

CAKE dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.

Dividend yield
1.14%
Annual dividend
$1.17
Payout ratio
View CAKE dividend history and analysis

CAKE Financial Data

CAKE revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.

Quarter revenue
$1.03B
EPS
$1.47
Periods
7
View CAKE financials

CAKE Risk Analysis

CAKE volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
1
Risk score
42/100
1Y volatility
38.48%
View CAKE risk analysis

CAKE Stock News

CAKE stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
4
Updated
Sep 11, 2026
Sentiment
Read CAKE stock news

CAKE vs Restaurants & Food Service Peers

Current peer cohort: CAKE · CAVA · CMG · DNUT · DPZ. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.

PeerAIQValueMomentumRiskSharpe1Y VolatilityCompare
CAKE
Current stock
45/10038/10039/10042/1001.5538.48%Current
CAVA
CAVA Group
30/10024/10021/10038/100-0.0360.05%CAKE vs CAVA
CMG
Chipotle Mexican Grill
44/10025/10057/10046/100-0.0441.84%CAKE vs CMG
DNUT
Krispy Kreme
37/10042/10025/10038/1000.3564.83%CAKE vs DNUT
DPZ
Domino's Pizza
38/10038/10015/10053/100-1.230.25%CAKE vs DPZ
Pairwise Compare links: CAVA · CMG · DNUT · DPZCAKE vs CAVACAKE vs CMGCAKE vs DNUTCAKE vs DPZCompare cohort

Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Sep 11, 2026.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current stock evidence.

As of Sep 11, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

Calculator
Calculate a CAKE stock return scenario

Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.

Calculate stock return

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

7 recent quarterly periods are available for review.

Checked Sep 11, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

Fundamentals Verdict

Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.

Current TTM P/E
28.29
As of Sep 11, 2026
Revenue growth
5.19%
Gross margin
46.42%
Current debt / equity
4.01
Latest quarterly evidence

Latest period Jun 30, 2026.

Review fundamentals
Quarter revenue
$1.03B
Quarter net income
$68.39M
Quarter free cash flow
$50.44M

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Bullish
Momentum
Bearish
RSI 14
28.89
MACD
0.81

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
42/100
Beta
1
Annual volatility
38.48%
Max drawdown
-26.45%

CAKE Stock FAQ

What is CAKE stock price today?

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated's current stock price is $102.70. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.

Is CAKE bullish or bearish right now?

CAKE's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.

What is CAKE's market cap?

CAKE's market cap is $5.38B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.

What is CAKE's current P/E ratio?

CAKE's current P/E ratio is 25.99 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.

What is CAKE's RSI?

CAKE's 14-day RSI is 28.89 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.

Is CAKE above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

CAKE is 3.71% from its 50-day SMA and 47.10% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.

When is CAKE's next earnings date?

CAKE's next earnings date is currently listed as Oct 27, 2026. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.

Does CAKE pay a dividend?

CAKE's dividend yield is 0.00% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.