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Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) Stock Analysis

Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.

ERIE Stock Analysis Summary

Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) currently has an AIQ Score of 39/100, indicating a bearish setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 62/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 16/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 11, 2026 · Market-close data

ERIE at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$245.03
AIQ Score39/100
Overall ViewBearish
Technical Analysis ConsensusStrong Sell
Market Cap$11.83B
P/E Ratio27.27
Forward P/E
EPS$3.87
Revenue TTM$1.09B
Dividend Yield0.01%
Beta0.3
Volume156.99K
52-week range$204.63-$341.71
RSI 1426.96
50-Day SMA$246.64
200-Day SMA$253.32
Analyst Price Target
Next EarningsOct 29, 2026
As of Sep 11, 2026 · Market close

ERIE

Overview
Erie Indemnity Company
Financial Services· Insurance - Property & Casualty
AIQ Score
BearishAIQ Edge 2/10
Low Priority
Relative Laggard
Score data as of Sep 11, 2026
Last price
$245.03
+$4.63 (+1.93%)
Latest market quote
Momentum16
Value33
Quality62
Risk Resilience48
Sentiment
View financial data

ERIE Stock Analysis Summary

Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) currently has an AIQ Score of 39/100, indicating a bearish setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 62/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 16/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 11, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Weak

In a bearish regime, ERIE has AIQ Score of 39/100 with Quality base of 62/100 and fading Momentum at 16/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Signal Conflict Detected

Quality (62/100) leads while Momentum (16/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.

Financial Services · 1.93% stock move · ERIE classified in Insurance - Property & Casualty.

Current Evidence

BearishERIE is in a bearish AIQ regime; Quality is the strongest visible factor at 62/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is ERIE Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

ERIE currently has a bearish overall setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 62/100, while Momentum is weakest at 16/100. The current evidence suggests a defensive setup.

Bull Case
  • - Quality is supportive at 62/100.
Bear Case
  • - Value is the current constraint at 33/100.
  • - Momentum is weak at 16/100.
  • - Price is -3.37% below its 200-day SMA.
  • - Technical consensus has more sell votes than buy votes (34 vs 4).

Current Consensus

ERIE's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Strong Sell, with 4 buy, 7 neutral, and 34 sell votes. ERIE's 14-day RSI is 26.96, which places the stock in an oversold momentum range. ERIE's beta is 0.3, indicating lower market sensitivity than the broad market.

Signal Confidence
High agreement

What Changed in ERIE?

Recent score-change history is not available in the current snapshot. These are the latest market-close scores instead.

AIQ Score
39/100
Momentum
16/100
Quality
62/100
Risk
48/100

What Would Change the ERIE Outlook?

The current bearish outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

ERIE Decision Framework

Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for Erie Indemnity Company.

Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) Stock Analysis

Erie Indemnity Company has an AIQ Score of 39/100 in a Defensive regime. Quality is strongest at 62/100. Beta is 0.3, below market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Evidence LayerPublic Evidence
Regime ContextERIE is in a Defensive AIQ regime with score 39/100.
Signal ConflictThe primary conflict is that quality leads at 62/100 while momentum lags at 16/100.
Factor EvidenceMomentum 16/100 · Value 33/100 · Quality 62/100 · Risk 48/100
PersistenceCurrent snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.

Current Setup Checklist

Factor strengthWait

Quality is the strongest factor at 62/100.

TimingFail

Momentum is 16/100 and RSI (14) is 30.0.

Regime fitFail

ERIE is in a Defensive regime at 39/100.

Risk controlWait

Risk factor is 48/100 with beta 0.3 and annual volatility 37.21%.

ConflictWait

Current conflict: quality leads at 62/100 while momentum lags at 16/100.

AIQ Score
39/100
Price
$245.03
Beta
0.3
RSI (14)
30

ERIE Research Cluster

Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.

ERIE Fundamentals

ERIE valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.

Revenue
$1.09B
Net income
$180.29M
Free cash flow
$173.4M
View full ERIE fundamental analysis

ERIE Technical Analysis

ERIE technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Strong Sell
RSI 14
26.96
Price vs SMA-50
-0.69%
View full ERIE technical analysis

ERIE Stock Catalysts

Track ERIE earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.

Next earnings
Oct 29, 2026
Analyst target
News items
2
View ERIE earnings and stock catalysts

ERIE Dividend Analysis

ERIE dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.

Dividend yield
2.35%
Annual dividend
$5.75
Payout ratio
View ERIE dividend history and analysis

ERIE Financial Data

ERIE revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.

Quarter revenue
$1.09B
EPS
$3.87
Periods
7
View ERIE financials

ERIE Risk Analysis

ERIE volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
0.3
Risk score
48/100
1Y volatility
37.21%
View ERIE risk analysis

ERIE Stock News

ERIE stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
2
Updated
Sep 11, 2026
Sentiment
Read ERIE stock news

ERIE vs Insurance Peers

Current peer cohort: ERIE · GL · GNW · HIG · LNC. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.

PeerAIQValueMomentumRiskSharpe1Y VolatilityCompare
ERIE
Current stock
40/10033/10016/10048/100-0.7937.21%Current
GL
Globe Life
54/10057/10048/10062/1000.8720.34%ERIE vs GL
GNW
Genworth Financial
63/10054/10078/10083/1000.8721.88%ERIE vs GNW
HIG
Hartford Financial
63/10065/10048/10074/1000.0919.43%ERIE vs HIG
LNC
Lincoln National
71/10073/10070/10072/1000.234.62%ERIE vs LNC
Pairwise Compare links: GL · GNW · HIG · LNCERIE vs GLERIE vs GNWERIE vs HIGERIE vs LNCCompare cohort

Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Sep 11, 2026.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current stock evidence.

As of Sep 11, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

Calculator
Calculate a ERIE stock return scenario

Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.

Calculate stock return

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

7 recent quarterly periods are available for review.

Checked Sep 11, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

Fundamentals Verdict

Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.

Current TTM P/E
20.67
As of Sep 10, 2026
Revenue growth
7.68%
Gross margin
16.53%
Current debt / equity
0.03
Latest quarterly evidence

Latest period Jun 30, 2026.

Review fundamentals
Quarter revenue
$1.09B
Quarter net income
$180.29M
Quarter free cash flow
$173.4M

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Bearish
Momentum
Bearish
RSI 14
30.01
MACD
-0.58

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
47/100
Beta
0.3
Annual volatility
37.21%
Max drawdown
-38.81%

ERIE Stock FAQ

What is ERIE stock price today?

Erie Indemnity Company's current stock price is $245.03. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.

Is ERIE bullish or bearish right now?

ERIE's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.

What is ERIE's market cap?

ERIE's market cap is $11.83B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.

What is ERIE's current P/E ratio?

ERIE's current P/E ratio is 27.27 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.

What is ERIE's RSI?

ERIE's 14-day RSI is 26.96 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.

Is ERIE above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

ERIE is -0.69% from its 50-day SMA and -3.37% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.

When is ERIE's next earnings date?

ERIE's next earnings date is currently listed as Oct 29, 2026. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.

Does ERIE pay a dividend?

ERIE's dividend yield is 0.01% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.