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Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) Stock Analysis

Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.

ERIE Stock Analysis Summary

Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) currently has an AIQ Score of 57/100, indicating a neutral setup. Momentum is the strongest factor at 85/100. Value is the weakest current factor at 32/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 30, 2026 · Market-close data

ERIE at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$261.39
AIQ Score57/100
Overall ViewNeutral
Technical Analysis ConsensusStrong Buy
Market Cap$11.83B
P/E Ratio (TTM)20.67
Forward P/E—
EPS (quarter ended 2026-06-30)$3.87
Revenue (quarter ended 2026-06-30)$1.09B
Dividend Yield (TTM)2.25%
Beta0.3
Volume729.52K
52-week range$204.63-$320.50
RSI 1474.97
50-Day SMA$241.61
200-Day SMA$244.55
Analyst Price Target—
Next EarningsFeb 22, 2027
As of Oct 30, 2026 · Market close

ERIEErie Indemnity Company

Financial Services / Insurance - Property & Casualty

Low Priority

Above Peers

NeutralEdge 6/10
$261.39+$10.60 (+4.23%)

Latest quote

  • Momentum
    85
  • Value
    32
  • Quality
    62
  • Risk resilience
    51
  • Sentiment
    —
algovestiq.comScore data as of Oct 30, 2026

ERIE Stock Analysis Summary

Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) currently has an AIQ Score of 57/100, indicating a neutral setup. Momentum is the strongest factor at 85/100. Value is the weakest current factor at 32/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 30, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Mixed

In a neutral regime, ERIE has AIQ Score of 57/100 with Momentum base of 85/100 and fading Value at 32/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Signal Conflict Detected

Momentum (85/100) leads while Value (32/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.

Financial Services · 4.23% stock move · ERIE classified in Insurance - Property & Casualty.

Current Evidence

NeutralERIE is in a neutral AIQ regime; Momentum is the strongest visible factor at 85/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is ERIE Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

ERIE currently has a neutral overall setup. Momentum is the strongest factor at 85/100, while Value is weakest at 32/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.

Bull Case
  • - Quality is supportive at 62/100.
  • - Momentum is constructive at 85/100.
  • - Price is +3.80% above its 50-day SMA.
  • - Technical consensus has more buy votes than sell votes (36 vs 3).
Bear Case
  • - Value is the current constraint at 32/100.

Current Consensus

ERIE's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Strong Buy, with 36 buy, 6 neutral, and 3 sell votes. ERIE's 14-day RSI is 74.97, which places the stock in an overbought momentum range. ERIE's beta is 0.3, indicating lower market sensitivity than the broad market.

Signal Confidence
High agreement

What Changed in ERIE?

The largest recent change in ERIE is Momentum moving down by 7.0 points over the available 7-day comparison window. Momentum remains the strongest visible factor.

AIQ Score
-2.0
Momentum
-7.0
Quality
+0.0
Risk
+0.0

What Would Change the ERIE Outlook?

The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

ERIE Decision Framework

Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for Erie Indemnity Company.

Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) Stock Analysis

Erie Indemnity Company has an AIQ Score of 57/100 in a Neutral regime. Momentum is strongest at 85/100. Beta is 0.33, below market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Evidence LayerPublic Evidence
Regime ContextERIE is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 57/100.
Signal ConflictThe primary conflict is that momentum leads at 85/100 while value lags at 32/100.
Factor EvidenceMomentum 85/100 · Value 32/100 · Quality 62/100 · Risk 51/100
PersistenceCurrent snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.

Current Setup Checklist

Factor strengthPass

Momentum is the strongest factor at 85/100.

TimingPass

Momentum is 85/100 and RSI (14) is 75.0.

Regime fitWait

ERIE is in a Neutral regime at 57/100.

Risk controlWait

Risk factor is 51/100 with beta 0.33 and annual volatility 37.73%.

ConflictWait

Current conflict: momentum leads at 85/100 while value lags at 32/100.

AIQ Score
57/100
Price
$261.39
Beta
0.33
RSI (14)
75

ERIE Research Cluster

Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.

ERIE Fundamentals

ERIE valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.

Revenue
$1.09B
Net income
$180.29M
Free cash flow
$173.4M
View full ERIE fundamental analysis

ERIE Technical Analysis

ERIE technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Strong Buy
RSI 14
74.97
Price vs SMA-50
+3.80%
View full ERIE technical analysis

ERIE Stock Catalysts

Track ERIE earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.

Next earnings
Feb 22, 2027
Analyst target
—
News items
0
View ERIE earnings and stock catalysts

ERIE Dividend Analysis

ERIE dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.

Dividend yield
2.24%
Annual dividend
$5.85
Payout ratio
45.64%
View ERIE dividend history and analysis

ERIE Financial Data

ERIE revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.

Quarter revenue
$1.09B
EPS
$3.87
Periods
3
View ERIE financials

ERIE Risk Analysis

ERIE volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
0.3
Risk score
51/100
1Y volatility
37.73%
View ERIE risk analysis

ERIE Stock News

ERIE stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
0
Updated
—
Sentiment
—
Read ERIE stock news

ERIE vs Insurance Peers

Current peer cohort: ERIE · GL · GNW · HIG · LNC. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.

PeerAIQValueMomentumRiskSharpe1Y VolatilityCompare
ERIE
Current stock
57/10032/10085/10051/100-0.4137.73%Current
GL
Globe Life
52/10059/10041/10056/1000.8620.99%ERIE vs GL
GNW
Genworth Financial
49/10053/10031/10076/1000.322.97%ERIE vs GNW
HIG
Hartford Financial
62/10064/10047/10071/1000.2920.03%ERIE vs HIG
LNC
Lincoln National
68/10073/10056/10076/1000.1533.88%ERIE vs LNC
Pairwise Compare links: GL · GNW · HIG · LNCERIE vs GLERIE vs GNWERIE vs HIGERIE vs LNCCompare cohort

Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Oct 29, 2026.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current stock evidence.

As of Oct 30, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

Calculator
Calculate a ERIE stock return scenario

Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.

Calculate stock return

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

3 recent quarterly periods are available for review.

Checked Oct 31, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

Fundamentals Verdict

Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.

Current TTM P/E
20.67
As of Oct 29, 2026
Revenue growth
—
Gross margin
16.53%
Current debt / equity
0.03
Latest quarterly evidence

Latest period Jun 30, 2026.

Review fundamentals
Quarter revenue
$1.09B
Quarter net income
$180.29M
Quarter free cash flow
$173.4M

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Mixed
Momentum
Bullish
RSI 14
74.97
MACD
4.4

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
51/100
Beta
0.33
Annual volatility
37.73%
Max drawdown
-33.07%

ERIE Stock FAQ

What is ERIE stock price today?

Erie Indemnity Company's current stock price is $261.39. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.

Is ERIE bullish or bearish right now?

ERIE's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.

What is ERIE's market cap?

ERIE's market cap is $11.83B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.

What is ERIE's current P/E ratio?

ERIE's current P/E ratio is 20.67 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.

What is ERIE's RSI?

ERIE's 14-day RSI is 74.97 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.

Is ERIE above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

ERIE is 3.80% from its 50-day SMA and 2.55% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.

When is ERIE's next earnings date?

ERIE's next earnings date is currently listed as Feb 22, 2027. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.

Does ERIE pay a dividend?

ERIE's dividend yield is 2.25% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.