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Main Street Capital Corporation (MAIN) Stock Analysis

Main Street Capital Corporation (MAIN) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.

MAIN Stock Analysis Summary

Main Street Capital Corporation (MAIN) currently has an AIQ Score of 53/100, indicating a neutral setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 63/100. Value is the weakest current factor at 38/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 4, 2026 · Market-close data

MAIN at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$57.68
AIQ Score53/100
Overall ViewNeutral
Technical Analysis ConsensusNeutral
Market Cap$5.39B
P/E Ratio14.57
Forward P/E
EPS$1.58
Revenue TTM$149.57M
Dividend Yield0.02%
Beta0.72
Volume408.59K
52-week range$48.95-$67.34
RSI 1444.62
50-Day SMA$55.66
200-Day SMA$56.46
Analyst Price Target$54.60
Next EarningsNov 5, 2026
As of Sep 4, 2026 · Market close

MAIN

Overview
Main Street Capital Corporation
Financial Services· Asset Management
AIQ Score
NeutralAIQ Edge 5/10
Low Priority
In Line With Peers
Score data as of Sep 4, 2026
Last price
$57.68
-$0.39 (-0.67%)
Latest market quote
Momentum56
Value38
Quality63
Risk Resilience61
Sentiment54
View financial data

MAIN Stock Analysis Summary

Main Street Capital Corporation (MAIN) currently has an AIQ Score of 53/100, indicating a neutral setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 63/100. Value is the weakest current factor at 38/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 4, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Mixed

In a neutral regime, MAIN has AIQ Score of 53/100 with Quality base of 63/100 and fading Value at 38/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Signal Conflict Detected

Quality (63/100) leads while Value (38/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.

Financial Services · -0.67% stock move · MAIN classified in Asset Management.

Current Evidence

NeutralMAIN is in a neutral AIQ regime; Quality is the strongest visible factor at 63/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is MAIN Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

MAIN currently has a neutral overall setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 63/100, while Value is weakest at 38/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.

Bull Case
  • - Quality is supportive at 63/100.
  • - Risk Resilience is supportive at 61/100.
  • - Price is +3.63% above its 50-day SMA.
Bear Case
  • - Value is the current constraint at 38/100.
  • - Analyst target implies -5.34% downside from the latest quote.
  • - Technical consensus has more sell votes than buy votes (20 vs 19).

Current Consensus

MAIN's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Neutral, with 19 buy, 6 neutral, and 20 sell votes. MAIN's 14-day RSI is 44.62, which places the stock in a weaker momentum range. MAIN's beta is 0.72, indicating lower market sensitivity than the broad market.

Signal Confidence
Moderate agreement

What Changed in MAIN?

Recent score-change history is not available in the current snapshot. These are the latest market-close scores instead.

AIQ Score
53/100
Momentum
56/100
Quality
63/100
Risk
61/100

What Would Change the MAIN Outlook?

The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

MAIN Decision Framework

Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for Main Street Capital Corporation.

Main Street Capital Corporation (MAIN) Stock Analysis

Main Street Capital Corporation has an AIQ Score of 53/100 in a Neutral regime. Quality is strongest at 63/100. Beta is 0.72, below market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Evidence LayerPublic Evidence
Regime ContextMAIN is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 53/100.
Signal ConflictThe primary conflict is that quality leads at 63/100 while value lags at 38/100.
Factor EvidenceMomentum 56/100 · Value 38/100 · Quality 63/100 · Risk 61/100 · Sentiment 54/100
PersistenceCurrent snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.

Current Setup Checklist

Factor strengthWait

Quality is the strongest factor at 63/100.

TimingWait

Momentum is 56/100 and RSI (14) is 44.6.

Regime fitWait

MAIN is in a Neutral regime at 53/100.

Risk controlWait

Risk factor is 61/100 with beta 0.72 and annual volatility 25.77%.

ConflictWait

Current conflict: quality leads at 63/100 while value lags at 38/100.

AIQ Score
53/100
Price
$57.68
Beta
0.72
RSI (14)
44.6

MAIN Research Cluster

Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.

MAIN Fundamentals

MAIN valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.

Revenue
$149.57M
Net income
$147.58M
Free cash flow
-$67.59M
View full MAIN fundamental analysis

MAIN Technical Analysis

MAIN technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Neutral
RSI 14
44.62
Price vs SMA-50
+3.63%
View full MAIN technical analysis

MAIN Stock Catalysts

Track MAIN earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.

Next earnings
Nov 5, 2026
Analyst target
$54.60
News items
3
View MAIN earnings and stock catalysts

MAIN Dividend Analysis

MAIN dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.

Dividend yield
1.89%
Annual dividend
$1.09
Payout ratio
View MAIN dividend history and analysis

MAIN Financial Data

MAIN revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.

Quarter revenue
$149.57M
EPS
$1.58
Periods
8
View MAIN financials

MAIN Risk Analysis

MAIN volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
0.72
Risk score
61/100
1Y volatility
25.77%
View MAIN risk analysis

MAIN Stock News

MAIN stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
3
Updated
Sep 6, 2026
Sentiment
54/100
Read MAIN stock news

MAIN vs BDCs / Private Credit Peers

Current peer cohort: MAIN · OBDC · PSEC · TPVG · ARCC. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.

PeerAIQValueMomentumRiskSharpe1Y VolatilityCompare
MAIN
Current stock
53/10038/10056/10061/100-0.5825.77%Current
OBDC
Blue Owl Capital BDC
52/10054/10051/10052/100-0.9924.41%MAIN vs OBDC
PSEC
Prospect Capital
56/10071/10043/10047/100-0.6436.18%MAIN vs PSEC
TPVG
TriplePoint Venture Growth
52/10064/10041/10043/100-0.6835.52%MAIN vs TPVG
ARCC
Ares Capital
58/10048/10076/10062/100-0.6320.34%MAIN vs ARCC
Pairwise Compare links: OBDC · PSEC · TPVG · ARCCMAIN vs OBDCMAIN vs PSECMAIN vs TPVGMAIN vs ARCCCompare cohort

Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Sep 5, 2026.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current stock evidence.

As of Sep 4, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

Calculator
Calculate a MAIN stock return scenario

Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.

Calculate stock return

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

8 recent quarterly periods are available for review.

Checked Sep 7, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

Fundamentals Verdict

Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.

Current TTM P/E
11.69
As of Sep 4, 2026
Revenue growth
-8.54%
Gross margin
85.26%
Current debt / equity
0.8
Latest quarterly evidence

Latest period Jun 30, 2026.

Review fundamentals
Quarter revenue
$149.57M
Quarter net income
$147.58M
Quarter free cash flow
-$67.59M

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Mixed
Momentum
Bearish
RSI 14
44.62
MACD
0.62

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
61/100
Beta
0.72
Annual volatility
25.77%
Max drawdown
-26.11%

MAIN Stock FAQ

What is MAIN stock price today?

Main Street Capital Corporation's current stock price is $57.68. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.

Is MAIN bullish or bearish right now?

MAIN's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.

What is MAIN's market cap?

MAIN's market cap is $5.39B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.

What is MAIN's current P/E ratio?

MAIN's current P/E ratio is 14.57 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.

What is MAIN's RSI?

MAIN's 14-day RSI is 44.62 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.

Is MAIN above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

MAIN is 3.63% from its 50-day SMA and 2.15% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.

When is MAIN's next earnings date?

MAIN's next earnings date is currently listed as Nov 5, 2026. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.

Does MAIN pay a dividend?

MAIN's dividend yield is 0.02% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 4, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.