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Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE) Stock Analysis

Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.

LITE Stock Analysis Summary

Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE) currently has an AIQ Score of 30/100, indicating a bearish setup. Sentiment is the strongest factor at 67/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 17/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 21, 2026 · Market-close data

LITE at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$850.70
AIQ Score30/100
Overall ViewBearish
Technical Analysis ConsensusSell
Market Cap$67.6B
P/E Ratio (TTM)-9.35
Forward P/E—
EPS (quarter ended 2026-06-27)-$96.11
Revenue (quarter ended 2026-06-27)$1.01B
Dividend Yield (TTM)0.00%
Beta1.51
Volume3.74M
52-week range$152.54-$1,143.00
RSI 1432.66
50-Day SMA$931.32
200-Day SMA$784.45
Analyst Price Target$1,085.11
Next EarningsNov 5, 2026
As of Oct 21, 2026 · Market close

LITELumentum Holdings Inc.

Technology / Communication Equipment

Low Priority

Relative Laggard

BearishEdge 1/10
$850.70+$28.19 (+3.43%)

Latest quote

  • Momentum
    17
  • Value
    24
  • Quality
    43
  • Risk resilience
    39
  • Sentiment
    67
algovestiq.comScore data as of Oct 21, 2026

LITE Stock Analysis Summary

Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE) currently has an AIQ Score of 30/100, indicating a bearish setup. Sentiment is the strongest factor at 67/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 17/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 21, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Weak

In a bearish regime, LITE has AIQ Score of 30/100 with Sentiment base of 67/100 and fading Momentum at 17/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Signal Conflict Detected

Sentiment (67/100) leads while Momentum (17/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.

Technology · 3.43% stock move · LITE classified in Communication Equipment.

Current Evidence

BearishLITE is in a bearish AIQ regime; Sentiment is the strongest visible factor at 67/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is LITE Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

LITE currently has a bearish overall setup. Sentiment is the strongest factor at 67/100, while Momentum is weakest at 17/100. The current evidence suggests a defensive setup.

Bull Case
  • - Analyst target implies +27.55% upside from the latest quote.
Bear Case
  • - Value is the current constraint at 24/100.
  • - Momentum is weak at 17/100.
  • - Risk Resilience is weak at 39/100.
  • - Technical consensus has more sell votes than buy votes (31 vs 11).

Current Consensus

LITE's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Sell, with 11 buy, 3 neutral, and 31 sell votes. LITE's 14-day RSI is 32.66, which places the stock in a weaker momentum range. LITE's beta is 1.51, indicating greater market sensitivity than the broad market.

Signal Confidence
High agreement

What Changed in LITE?

The largest recent change in LITE is Momentum moving down by 12.0 points over the available 7-day comparison window. Sentiment remains the strongest visible factor.

AIQ Score
-3.0
Momentum
-12.0
Quality
+0.0
Risk
+0.0

What Would Change the LITE Outlook?

The current bearish outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

LITE Decision Framework

Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for Lumentum Holdings Inc..

Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE) Stock Analysis

Lumentum Holdings Inc. has an AIQ Score of 30/100 in a Defensive regime. Sentiment is strongest at 67/100. Beta is 1.54, above market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Evidence LayerPublic Evidence
Regime ContextLITE is in a Defensive AIQ regime with score 30/100.
Signal ConflictThe primary conflict is that sentiment leads at 67/100 while momentum lags at 17/100.
Factor EvidenceMomentum 17/100 · Value 24/100 · Quality 43/100 · Risk 39/100 · Sentiment 67/100
PersistenceCurrent snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.

Current Setup Checklist

Factor strengthPass

Sentiment is the strongest factor at 67/100.

TimingFail

Momentum is 17/100 and RSI (14) is 32.7.

Regime fitFail

LITE is in a Defensive regime at 30/100.

Risk controlFail

Risk factor is 39/100 with beta 1.54 and annual volatility 99.1%.

ConflictWait

Current conflict: sentiment leads at 67/100 while momentum lags at 17/100.

AIQ Score
30/100
Price
$850.70
Beta
1.54
RSI (14)
32.7

LITE Research Cluster

Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.

LITE Fundamentals

LITE valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.

Revenue
$1.01B
Net income
-$7.16B
Free cash flow
$286.8M
View full LITE fundamental analysis

LITE Technical Analysis

LITE technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Sell
RSI 14
32.66
Price vs SMA-50
-8.66%
View full LITE technical analysis

LITE Stock Catalysts

Track LITE earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.

Next earnings
Nov 5, 2026
Analyst target
$1,085.11
News items
4
View LITE earnings and stock catalysts

LITE Dividend Analysis

LITE dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.

Dividend yield
0.00%
Annual dividend
—
Payout ratio
0.00%
View LITE dividend history and analysis

LITE Financial Data

LITE revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.

Quarter revenue
$1.01B
EPS
-$96.11
Periods
4
View LITE financials

LITE Risk Analysis

LITE volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
1.51
Risk score
39/100
1Y volatility
99.10%
View LITE risk analysis

LITE Stock News

LITE stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
4
Updated
Oct 21, 2026
Sentiment
67/100
Read LITE stock news

LITE vs Semiconductors — Mid Cap / Supply Chain Peers

Current peer cohort: LITE · LSCC · MBLY · MKSI · MTSI. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.

PeerAIQValueMomentumRiskSharpe1Y VolatilityCompare
LITE
Current stock
30/10024/10017/10039/1002.1499.10%Current
LSCC
Lattice Semiconductor
37/10024/10017/10043/1000.9461.50%LITE vs LSCC
MBLY
Mobileye Global
44/10035/10036/10059/100-1.1255.96%LITE vs MBLY
MKSI
MKS Instruments
37/10062/1008/10022/1000.9460.88%LITE vs MKSI
MTSI
MACOM Technology
39/10025/10018/10041/1001.3163.15%LITE vs MTSI
Pairwise Compare links: LSCC · MBLY · MKSI · MTSILITE vs LSCCLITE vs MBLYLITE vs MKSILITE vs MTSICompare cohort

Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Oct 21, 2026.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current stock evidence.

As of Oct 21, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

Calculator
Calculate a LITE stock return scenario

Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.

Calculate stock return

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

4 recent quarterly periods are available for review.

Checked Oct 22, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

Fundamentals Verdict

Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.

Current TTM P/E
-9.35
As of Oct 21, 2026
Revenue growth
—
Gross margin
41.67%
Current debt / equity
0.36
Latest quarterly evidence

Latest period Jun 27, 2026.

Review fundamentals
Quarter revenue
$1.01B
Quarter net income
-$7.16B
Quarter free cash flow
$286.8M

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Mixed
Momentum
Bearish
RSI 14
32.66
MACD
-23.87

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
39/100
Beta
1.54
Annual volatility
99.10%
Max drawdown
-42.80%

LITE Stock FAQ

What is LITE stock price today?

Lumentum Holdings Inc.'s current stock price is $850.70. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.

Is LITE bullish or bearish right now?

LITE's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.

What is LITE's market cap?

LITE's market cap is $67.6B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.

What is LITE's current P/E ratio?

LITE's current P/E ratio is -9.35 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.

What is LITE's RSI?

LITE's 14-day RSI is 32.66 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.

Is LITE above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

LITE is -8.66% from its 50-day SMA and 8.45% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.

When is LITE's next earnings date?

LITE's next earnings date is currently listed as Nov 5, 2026. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.

Does LITE pay a dividend?

LITE's dividend yield is 0.00% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.