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The Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV) Stock Analysis

The Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.

TRV Stock Analysis Summary

The Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV) currently has an AIQ Score of 68/100, indicating a neutral setup. Momentum is the strongest factor at 83/100. Value is the weakest current factor at 60/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 30, 2026 · Market-close data

TRV at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$396.22
AIQ Score68/100
Overall ViewNeutral
Technical Analysis ConsensusStrong Buy
Market Cap$81.25B
P/E Ratio (TTM)10.06
Forward P/E—
EPS (quarter ended 2026-09-30)$9.20
Revenue (quarter ended 2026-09-30)$12.41B
Dividend Yield (TTM)1.21%
Beta0.44
Volume1.41M
52-week range$264.25-$407.87
RSI 1472.94
50-Day SMA$373.94
200-Day SMA$329.23
Analyst Price Target$357.07
Next EarningsJan 20, 2027
As of Oct 30, 2026 · Market close

TRVThe Travelers Companies, Inc.

Financial Services / Insurance - Property & Casualty

Leader

Sector Leader

NeutralEdge 10/10
$396.22−$2.05 (−0.51%)

Latest quote

  • Momentum
    83
  • Value
    60
  • Quality
    67
  • Risk resilience
    62
  • Sentiment
    —
algovestiq.comScore data as of Oct 30, 2026

TRV Stock Analysis Summary

The Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV) currently has an AIQ Score of 68/100, indicating a neutral setup. Momentum is the strongest factor at 83/100. Value is the weakest current factor at 60/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 30, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Mixed

In a neutral regime, TRV has AIQ Score of 68/100 with Momentum base of 83/100 and fading Value at 60/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Signal Conflict Detected

Momentum (83/100) leads while Value (60/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.

Financial Services · -0.51% stock move · TRV classified in Insurance - Property & Casualty.

Current Evidence

NeutralTRV is in a neutral AIQ regime; Momentum is the strongest visible factor at 83/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is TRV Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

TRV currently has a neutral overall setup. Momentum is the strongest factor at 83/100, while Value is weakest at 60/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.

Bull Case
  • - Quality is supportive at 67/100.
  • - Momentum is constructive at 83/100.
  • - Risk Resilience is supportive at 62/100.
  • - Price is +6.51% above its 50-day SMA.
  • - Technical consensus has more buy votes than sell votes (37 vs 2).
Bear Case
  • - Analyst target implies -9.88% downside from the latest quote.

Current Consensus

TRV's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Strong Buy, with 37 buy, 6 neutral, and 2 sell votes. TRV's 14-day RSI is 72.94, which places the stock in an overbought momentum range. TRV's beta is 0.44, indicating lower market sensitivity than the broad market.

Signal Confidence
High agreement

What Changed in TRV?

The largest recent change in TRV is Momentum moving down by 9.0 points over the available 7-day comparison window. Momentum remains the strongest visible factor.

AIQ Score
-3.0
Momentum
-9.0
Quality
+0.0
Risk
-1.0

What Would Change the TRV Outlook?

The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

TRV Decision Framework

Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for The Travelers Companies, Inc..

The Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV) Stock Analysis

The Travelers Companies, Inc. has an AIQ Score of 68/100 in a Neutral regime. Momentum is strongest at 83/100. Beta is 0.44, below market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Evidence LayerPublic Evidence
Regime ContextTRV is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 68/100.
Signal ConflictThe primary conflict is that momentum leads at 83/100 while value lags at 60/100.
Factor EvidenceMomentum 83/100 · Value 60/100 · Quality 67/100 · Risk 62/100
PersistenceCurrent snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.

Current Setup Checklist

Factor strengthPass

Momentum is the strongest factor at 83/100.

TimingPass

Momentum is 83/100 and RSI (14) is 72.9.

Regime fitPass

TRV is in a Neutral regime at 68/100.

Risk controlWait

Risk factor is 62/100 with beta 0.44 and annual volatility 20.7%.

ConflictWait

Current conflict: momentum leads at 83/100 while value lags at 60/100.

AIQ Score
68/100
Price
$396.22
Beta
0.44
RSI (14)
72.9

TRV Research Cluster

Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.

TRV Fundamentals

TRV valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.

Revenue
$12.41B
Net income
$1.92B
Free cash flow
$3.88B
View full TRV fundamental analysis

TRV Technical Analysis

TRV technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Strong Buy
RSI 14
72.94
Price vs SMA-50
+6.51%
View full TRV technical analysis

TRV Stock Catalysts

Track TRV earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.

Next earnings
Jan 20, 2027
Analyst target
$357.07
News items
0
View TRV earnings and stock catalysts

TRV Dividend Analysis

TRV dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.

Dividend yield
1.19%
Annual dividend
$4.70
Payout ratio
12.01%
View TRV dividend history and analysis

TRV Financial Data

TRV revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.

Quarter revenue
$12.41B
EPS
$9.20
Periods
4
View TRV financials

TRV Risk Analysis

TRV volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
0.44
Risk score
62/100
1Y volatility
20.70%
View TRV risk analysis

TRV Stock News

TRV stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
0
Updated
—
Sentiment
—
Read TRV stock news

TRV vs Insurance Peers

Current peer cohort: TRV · UNM · WRB · WTW · ACGL. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.

PeerAIQValueMomentumRiskSharpe1Y VolatilityCompare
TRV
Current stock
68/10060/10083/10062/1001.8420.70%Current
UNM
Unum Group
54/10061/10048/10066/1000.823.79%TRV vs UNM
WRB
W.R. Berkley
65/10050/10064/10059/1000.0422.17%TRV vs WRB
WTW
Willis Towers Watson
58/10037/10086/10051/1000.0631.00%TRV vs WTW
ACGL
Arch Capital
67/10063/10080/10054/1000.8520.58%TRV vs ACGL
Pairwise Compare links: UNM · WRB · WTW · ACGLTRV vs UNMTRV vs WRBTRV vs WTWTRV vs ACGLCompare cohort

Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Oct 29, 2026.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current stock evidence.

As of Oct 30, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

Calculator
Calculate a TRV stock return scenario

Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.

Calculate stock return

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

4 recent quarterly periods are available for review.

Checked Oct 31, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

Fundamentals Verdict

Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.

Current TTM P/E
10.06
As of Oct 29, 2026
Revenue growth
—
Gross margin
34.86%
Current debt / equity
0.34
Latest quarterly evidence

Latest period Sep 30, 2026.

Review fundamentals
Quarter revenue
$12.41B
Quarter net income
$1.92B
Quarter free cash flow
$3.88B

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Bullish
Momentum
Bullish
RSI 14
72.94
MACD
8.41

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
62/100
Beta
0.44
Annual volatility
20.70%
Max drawdown
-10.25%

TRV Stock FAQ

What is TRV stock price today?

The Travelers Companies, Inc.'s current stock price is $396.22. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.

Is TRV bullish or bearish right now?

TRV's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.

What is TRV's market cap?

TRV's market cap is $81.25B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.

What is TRV's current P/E ratio?

TRV's current P/E ratio is 10.06 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.

What is TRV's RSI?

TRV's 14-day RSI is 72.94 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.

Is TRV above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

TRV is 6.51% from its 50-day SMA and 20.97% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.

When is TRV's next earnings date?

TRV's next earnings date is currently listed as Jan 20, 2027. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.

Does TRV pay a dividend?

TRV's dividend yield is 1.21% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.