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Vale S.A. (VALE) Stock Analysis

Vale S.A. (VALE) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.

VALE Stock Analysis Summary

Vale S.A. (VALE) currently has an AIQ Score of 53/100, indicating a neutral setup. Momentum is the strongest factor at 64/100. Quality is the weakest current factor at 42/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 11, 2026 · Market-close data

VALE at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$15.23
AIQ Score53/100
Overall ViewNeutral
Technical Analysis ConsensusBuy
Market Cap$64.48B
P/E Ratio22.52
Forward P/E
EPS$0.32
Revenue TTM$10.49B
Dividend Yield0.00%
Beta0.51
Volume20.76M
52-week range$10.43-$17.94
RSI 1460.26
50-Day SMA$14.70
200-Day SMA$15.24
Analyst Price Target$17.25
Next EarningsOct 29, 2026
As of Sep 11, 2026 · Market close

VALE

Overview
Vale S.A.
Basic Materials· Industrial Materials
AIQ Score
NeutralAIQ Edge 7/10
Low Priority
Above Peers
Score data as of Sep 11, 2026
Last price
$15.23
-$0.05 (-0.33%)
Latest market quote
Momentum64
Value57
Quality42
Risk Resilience52
Sentiment
View financial data

VALE Stock Analysis Summary

Vale S.A. (VALE) currently has an AIQ Score of 53/100, indicating a neutral setup. Momentum is the strongest factor at 64/100. Quality is the weakest current factor at 42/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Sep 11, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Mixed

In a neutral regime, VALE has AIQ Score of 53/100 with Momentum base of 64/100 and fading Quality at 42/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Signal Conflict Detected

Momentum (64/100) leads while Quality (42/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.

Basic Materials · -0.33% stock move · VALE classified in Industrial Materials.

Current Evidence

NeutralVALE is in a neutral AIQ regime; Momentum is the strongest visible factor at 64/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is VALE Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

VALE currently has a neutral overall setup. Momentum is the strongest factor at 64/100, while Quality is weakest at 42/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.

Bull Case
  • - Momentum is constructive at 64/100.
  • - Price is +3.57% above its 50-day SMA.
  • - Analyst target implies +13.26% upside from the latest quote.
  • - Technical consensus has more buy votes than sell votes (26 vs 11).
Bear Case
  • - Price is -0.05% below its 200-day SMA.

Current Consensus

VALE's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Buy, with 26 buy, 8 neutral, and 11 sell votes. VALE's 14-day RSI is 60.26, which places the stock in a constructive momentum range. VALE's beta is 0.51, indicating lower market sensitivity than the broad market.

Signal Confidence
High agreement

What Changed in VALE?

Recent score-change history is not available in the current snapshot. These are the latest market-close scores instead.

AIQ Score
53/100
Momentum
64/100
Quality
42/100
Risk
52/100

What Would Change the VALE Outlook?

The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

VALE Decision Framework

Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for Vale S.A..

Vale S.A. (VALE) Stock Analysis

Vale S.A. has an AIQ Score of 53/100 in a Neutral regime. Momentum is strongest at 64/100. Beta is 0.51, below market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Evidence LayerPublic Evidence
Regime ContextVALE is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 53/100.
Signal ConflictThe primary conflict is that momentum leads at 64/100 while quality lags at 42/100.
Factor EvidenceMomentum 64/100 · Value 57/100 · Quality 42/100 · Risk 52/100
PersistenceCurrent snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.

Current Setup Checklist

Factor strengthWait

Momentum is the strongest factor at 64/100.

TimingWait

Momentum is 64/100 and RSI (14) is 60.3.

Regime fitWait

VALE is in a Neutral regime at 53/100.

Risk controlWait

Risk factor is 52/100 with beta 0.51 and annual volatility 32.83%.

ConflictWait

Current conflict: momentum leads at 64/100 while quality lags at 42/100.

AIQ Score
53/100
Price
$15.23
Beta
0.51
RSI (14)
60.3

VALE Research Cluster

Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.

VALE Fundamentals

VALE valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.

Revenue
$10.49B
Net income
$1.35B
Free cash flow
$1.24B
View full VALE fundamental analysis

VALE Technical Analysis

VALE technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Buy
RSI 14
60.26
Price vs SMA-50
+3.57%
View full VALE technical analysis

VALE Stock Catalysts

Track VALE earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.

Next earnings
Oct 29, 2026
Analyst target
$17.25
News items
4
View VALE earnings and stock catalysts

VALE Dividend Analysis

VALE dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.

Dividend yield
11.74%
Annual dividend
$1.79
Payout ratio
View VALE dividend history and analysis

VALE Financial Data

VALE revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.

Quarter revenue
$10.49B
EPS
$0.32
Periods
7
View VALE financials

VALE Risk Analysis

VALE volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
0.51
Risk score
52/100
1Y volatility
32.83%
View VALE risk analysis

VALE Stock News

VALE stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
4
Updated
Sep 11, 2026
Sentiment
Read VALE stock news

VALE vs Metals & Mining Peers

Current peer cohort: VALE · WOR · WY · AA · CENX. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.

PeerAIQValueMomentumRiskSharpe1Y VolatilityCompare
VALE
Current stock
53/10057/10064/10052/1001.1832.83%Current
WOR
Worthington Industries
61/10065/10062/10065/100-0.3831.21%VALE vs WOR
WY
Weyerhaeuser
38/10041/10024/10068/100-0.5126.46%VALE vs WY
AA
Alcoa
51/10071/10032/10041/100156.24%VALE vs AA
CENX
Century Aluminum
59/10067/10042/10040/1001.366.19%VALE vs CENX
Pairwise Compare links: WOR · WY · AA · CENXVALE vs WORVALE vs WYVALE vs AAVALE vs CENXCompare cohort

Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Sep 11, 2026.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current stock evidence.

As of Sep 11, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

Calculator
Calculate a VALE stock return scenario

Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.

Calculate stock return

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

7 recent quarterly periods are available for review.

Checked Sep 11, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

Fundamentals Verdict

Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.

Current TTM P/E
30.39
As of Sep 11, 2026
Revenue growth
13.27%
Gross margin
34.24%
Current debt / equity
0.58
Latest quarterly evidence

Latest period Jun 30, 2026.

Review fundamentals
Quarter revenue
$10.49B
Quarter net income
$1.35B
Quarter free cash flow
$1.24B

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Mixed
Momentum
Bullish
RSI 14
60.26
MACD
0.21

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
52/100
Beta
0.51
Annual volatility
32.83%
Max drawdown
-23.51%

VALE Stock FAQ

What is VALE stock price today?

Vale S.A.'s current stock price is $15.23. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.

Is VALE bullish or bearish right now?

VALE's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.

What is VALE's market cap?

VALE's market cap is $64.48B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.

What is VALE's current P/E ratio?

VALE's current P/E ratio is 22.52 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.

What is VALE's RSI?

VALE's 14-day RSI is 60.26 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.

Is VALE above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

VALE is 3.57% from its 50-day SMA and -0.05% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.

When is VALE's next earnings date?

VALE's next earnings date is currently listed as Oct 29, 2026. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.

Does VALE pay a dividend?

VALE's dividend yield is 0.00% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.