Stock Analysis
Vale S.A. (VALE) Stock Analysis
Vale S.A. (VALE) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.
Vale S.A. (VALE) currently has an AIQ Score of 43/100, indicating a neutral setup. Value is the strongest factor at 57/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 25/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.
VALE at a Glance
Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.
| Metric | Current |
|---|---|
| Price | $11.39 |
| AIQ Score | 43/100 |
| Overall View | Neutral |
| Technical Analysis Consensus | Strong Sell |
| Market Cap | $64.48B |
| P/E Ratio (TTM) | 30.39 |
| Forward P/E | — |
| EPS (quarter ended 2026-06-30) | $0.32 |
| Revenue (quarter ended 2026-06-30) | $10.49B |
| Dividend Yield (TTM) | 7.17% |
| Beta | 0.51 |
| Volume | 47.39M |
| 52-week range | $11.14-$17.94 |
| RSI 14 | 16.08 |
| 50-Day SMA | $13.93 |
| 200-Day SMA | $15.27 |
| Analyst Price Target | $16.10 |
| Next Earnings | Feb 11, 2027 |
VALEVale S.A.
Basic Materials / Industrial Materials
Low Priority
Relative Laggard
Latest quote
- Momentum25
- Value57
- Quality42
- Risk resilience49
- Sentiment—
VALE Stock Analysis Summary
Vale S.A. (VALE) currently has an AIQ Score of 43/100, indicating a neutral setup. Value is the strongest factor at 57/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 25/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.
In a neutral regime, VALE has AIQ Score of 43/100 with Value base of 57/100 and fading Momentum at 25/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.
Value (57/100) leads while Momentum (25/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.
Basic Materials · 1.88% stock move · VALE classified in Industrial Materials.
Current Evidence
AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary
Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.
Is VALE Bullish or Bearish Right Now?
VALE currently has a neutral overall setup. Value is the strongest factor at 57/100, while Momentum is weakest at 25/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.
- - Analyst target implies +41.35% upside from the latest quote.
- - Momentum is weak at 25/100.
- - Price is -26.81% below its 200-day SMA.
- - Technical consensus has more sell votes than buy votes (37 vs 8).
Current Consensus
VALE's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Strong Sell, with 8 buy, 0 neutral, and 37 sell votes. VALE's 14-day RSI is 16.08, which places the stock in an oversold momentum range. VALE's beta is 0.51, indicating lower market sensitivity than the broad market.
What Changed in VALE?
The largest recent change in VALE is Risk Resilience moving down by 3.0 points over the available 7-day comparison window. Value remains the strongest visible factor.
What Would Change the VALE Outlook?
The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.
AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.
AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.
VALE Decision Framework
Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for Vale S.A..
Vale S.A. (VALE) Stock Analysis
Vale S.A. has an AIQ Score of 43/100 in a Neutral regime. Value is strongest at 57/100. Beta is 0.53, below market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.
| Evidence Layer | Public Evidence |
|---|---|
| Regime Context | VALE is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 43/100. |
| Signal Conflict | The primary conflict is that value leads at 57/100 while momentum lags at 25/100. |
| Factor Evidence | Momentum 25/100 · Value 57/100 · Quality 42/100 · Risk 49/100 |
| Persistence | Current snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro. |
Current Setup Checklist
Value is the strongest factor at 57/100.
Momentum is 25/100 and RSI (14) is 16.1.
VALE is in a Neutral regime at 43/100.
Risk factor is 49/100 with beta 0.53 and annual volatility 34.06%.
Current conflict: value leads at 57/100 while momentum lags at 25/100.
VALE Research Cluster
Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.
VALE Fundamentals
VALE valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.
VALE Technical Analysis
VALE technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.
VALE Stock Catalysts
Track VALE earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.
VALE Dividend Analysis
VALE dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.
VALE Financial Data
VALE revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.
VALE Risk Analysis
VALE volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.
VALE Stock News
VALE stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.
VALE vs Metals & Mining Peers
Current peer cohort: VALE · WOR · WY · AA · CENX. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.
| Peer | AIQ | Value | Momentum | Risk | Sharpe | 1Y Volatility | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALE Current stock | 43/100 | 57/100 | 25/100 | 49/100 | -0.11 | 34.06% | Current |
| WOR Worthington Industries | 63/100 | 65/100 | 69/100 | 72/100 | 0.53 | 29.96% | VALE vs WOR |
| WY Weyerhaeuser | 44/100 | 41/100 | 49/100 | 64/100 | -0.59 | 27.55% | VALE vs WY |
| AA Alcoa | 54/100 | 73/100 | 33/100 | 53/100 | 0.24 | 53.28% | VALE vs AA |
| CENX Century Aluminum | 57/100 | 67/100 | 37/100 | 37/100 | 0.55 | 62.96% | VALE vs CENX |
Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Oct 29, 2026.
About the AIQ Score
Methodology for the current stock evidence.
The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.
View AIQ methodologyFactor Diagnostics
A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.
Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.
AIQ Component Profile
Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.
Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.
Open catalysts3 recent quarterly periods are available for review.
Checked Oct 31, 2026
Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.
Fundamentals Verdict
Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.
Latest period Jun 30, 2026.
Market Confirmation
Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.
Risk Alignment
Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.
Continue Researching VALE
Open the detailed evidence pages and workflows behind the stock overview read.
Premium Feature
Full AIQ Analysis
AIQ Intelligence
AIQ Pro for VALE
Scenario Analysis
AIQ Scenario Builder
Portfolio Implication
Related Links
VALE Stock FAQ
What is VALE stock price today?
Vale S.A.'s current stock price is $11.39. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.
Is VALE bullish or bearish right now?
VALE's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.
What is VALE's market cap?
VALE's market cap is $64.48B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.
What is VALE's current P/E ratio?
VALE's current P/E ratio is 30.39 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.
What is VALE's RSI?
VALE's 14-day RSI is 16.08 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.
Is VALE above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?
VALE is -19.73% from its 50-day SMA and -26.81% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.
When is VALE's next earnings date?
VALE's next earnings date is currently listed as Feb 11, 2027. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.
Does VALE pay a dividend?
VALE's dividend yield is 7.17% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.