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Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) Stock Analysis

Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.

VLO Stock Analysis Summary

Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) currently has an AIQ Score of 54/100, indicating a neutral setup. Sentiment is the strongest factor at 66/100. Risk is the weakest current factor at 49/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 23, 2026 · Market-close data

VLO at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$419.28
AIQ Score54/100
Overall ViewNeutral
Technical Analysis ConsensusNeutral
Market Cap$104.23B
P/E Ratio (TTM)15.01
Forward P/E—
EPS (quarter ended 2026-06-30)$12.62
Revenue (quarter ended 2026-06-30)$36.65B
Dividend Yield (TTM)1.31%
Beta0.55
Volume2.41M
52-week range$156.26-$461.52
RSI 1449.98
50-Day SMA$392.41
200-Day SMA$280.40
Analyst Price Target$369.68
Next EarningsFeb 4, 2027
As of Oct 23, 2026 · Market close

VLOValero Energy Corporation

Energy / Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

Low Priority

Above Peers

NeutralEdge 6/10
$419.28−$7.00 (−1.64%)

Latest quote

  • Momentum
    49
  • Value
    58
  • Quality
    58
  • Risk resilience
    49
  • Sentiment
    66
algovestiq.comScore data as of Oct 23, 2026

VLO Stock Analysis Summary

Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) currently has an AIQ Score of 54/100, indicating a neutral setup. Sentiment is the strongest factor at 66/100. Risk resilience is the weakest current factor at 49/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 23, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Mixed

In a neutral regime, VLO has AIQ Score of 54/100 with Sentiment base of 66/100 and fading Risk resilience at 49/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Energy · -1.64% stock move · VLO classified in Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing.

Current Evidence

NeutralVLO is in a neutral AIQ regime; Sentiment is the strongest visible factor at 66/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is VLO Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

VLO currently has a neutral overall setup. Sentiment is the strongest factor at 66/100, while Momentum is weakest at 49/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.

Bull Case
  • - Price is +6.85% above its 50-day SMA.
  • - Technical consensus has more buy votes than sell votes (22 vs 19).
Bear Case
  • - Analyst target implies -11.83% downside from the latest quote.

Current Consensus

VLO's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Neutral, with 22 buy, 4 neutral, and 19 sell votes. VLO's 14-day RSI is 49.98, which places the stock in a neutral momentum range. VLO's beta is 0.55, indicating lower market sensitivity than the broad market.

Signal Confidence
Moderate agreement

What Changed in VLO?

The largest recent change in VLO is Momentum moving down by 37.0 points over the available 7-day comparison window. Sentiment remains the strongest visible factor.

AIQ Score
-10.0
Momentum
-37.0
Quality
+0.0
Risk
+1.0

What Would Change the VLO Outlook?

The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

VLO Decision Framework

Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for Valero Energy Corporation.

Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) Stock Analysis

Valero Energy Corporation has an AIQ Score of 54/100 in a Neutral regime. Sentiment is strongest at 66/100. Beta is 0.57, below market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Evidence LayerPublic Evidence
Regime ContextVLO is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 54/100.
Signal ConflictThe primary conflict is that sentiment leads at 66/100 while momentum lags at 49/100.
Factor EvidenceMomentum 49/100 · Value 58/100 · Quality 58/100 · Risk 49/100 · Sentiment 66/100
PersistenceCurrent snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.

Current Setup Checklist

Factor strengthPass

Sentiment is the strongest factor at 66/100.

TimingWait

Momentum is 49/100 and RSI (14) is 50.0.

Regime fitWait

VLO is in a Neutral regime at 54/100.

Risk controlWait

Risk factor is 49/100 with beta 0.57 and annual volatility 37.64%.

ConflictPass

Current conflict: sentiment leads at 66/100 while momentum lags at 49/100.

AIQ Score
54/100
Price
$419.28
Beta
0.57
RSI (14)
50

VLO Research Cluster

Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.

VLO Fundamentals

VLO valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.

Revenue
$36.65B
Net income
$3.72B
Free cash flow
$5.35B
View full VLO fundamental analysis

VLO Technical Analysis

VLO technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Neutral
RSI 14
49.98
Price vs SMA-50
+6.85%
View full VLO technical analysis

VLO Stock Catalysts

Track VLO earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.

Next earnings
Feb 4, 2027
Analyst target
$369.68
News items
4
View VLO earnings and stock catalysts

VLO Dividend Analysis

VLO dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.

Dividend yield
1.13%
Annual dividend
$4.73
Payout ratio
19.54%
View VLO dividend history and analysis

VLO Financial Data

VLO revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.

Quarter revenue
$36.65B
EPS
$12.62
Periods
3
View VLO financials

VLO Risk Analysis

VLO volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
0.55
Risk score
49/100
1Y volatility
37.64%
View VLO risk analysis

VLO Stock News

VLO stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
4
Updated
Oct 24, 2026
Sentiment
66/100
Read VLO stock news

VLO vs Refiners & Oilfield Services Peers

Current peer cohort: VLO · BKR · FENI · HAL · MPC. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.

PeerAIQValueMomentumRiskSharpe1Y VolatilityCompare
VLO
Current stock
54/10058/10049/10049/1002.6337.64%Current
BKR
Baker Hughes
43/10035/10037/10065/1000.5533.30%VLO vs BKR
FENI
Fidelity Enhanced International ETF
58/100—31/10083/1000.4816.62%VLO vs FENI
HAL
Halliburton
54/10053/10069/10060/1000.9132.98%VLO vs HAL
MPC
Marathon Petroleum
54/10059/10063/10044/1002.5635.77%VLO vs MPC
Pairwise Compare links: BKR · FENI · HAL · MPCVLO vs BKRVLO vs FENIVLO vs HALVLO vs MPCCompare cohort

Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Oct 23, 2026.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current stock evidence.

As of Oct 23, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

Calculator
Calculate a VLO stock return scenario

Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.

Calculate stock return

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

3 recent quarterly periods are available for review.

Checked Oct 24, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

Fundamentals Verdict

Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.

Current TTM P/E
15.01
As of Oct 23, 2026
Revenue growth
—
Gross margin
11.33%
Current debt / equity
0.45
Latest quarterly evidence

Latest period Jun 30, 2026.

Review fundamentals
Quarter revenue
$36.65B
Quarter net income
$3.72B
Quarter free cash flow
$5.35B

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Bullish
Momentum
Mixed
RSI 14
49.98
MACD
12.52

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
49/100
Beta
0.57
Annual volatility
37.64%
Max drawdown
-12.67%

VLO Stock FAQ

What is VLO stock price today?

Valero Energy Corporation's current stock price is $419.28. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.

Is VLO bullish or bearish right now?

VLO's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.

What is VLO's market cap?

VLO's market cap is $104.23B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 23, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.

What is VLO's current P/E ratio?

VLO's current P/E ratio is 15.01 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 23, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.

What is VLO's RSI?

VLO's 14-day RSI is 49.98 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 23, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.

Is VLO above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

VLO is 6.85% from its 50-day SMA and 49.53% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 23, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.

When is VLO's next earnings date?

VLO's next earnings date is currently listed as Feb 4, 2027. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.

Does VLO pay a dividend?

VLO's dividend yield is 1.31% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 23, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.