AGNC vs RITM Stock Comparison
Compare AGNC and RITM across AIQ Score, fundamentals, valuation, momentum, risk, analyst expectations and current market evidence.
What is the main difference between AGNC and RITM?
RITM leads the current stock comparison as Rithm Capital Corp., with the clearest separation coming from momentum and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
AGNC Investment Corp. vs Rithm Capital Corp.
RITM leads
RITM leads by 4 AIQ points, primarily on Momentum and Risk Resilience, and the lead has widened from 1 points over 30 sessions.
Competitive: 5 of 6 evidence groups support RITM, and its lead is widening.
AGNC Investment Corp.
Rithm Capital Corp.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors RITM over AGNC, 54 versus 50 as of Sep 6, 2026. RITM's advantage is driven primarily by stronger momentum and risk resilience, while AGNC holds the stronger quality profile. RITM also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 5 of 6 covered evidence groups favor RITM today, and the comparison is rated Competitive on stability: the AIQ gap is narrow at 4 points. RITM lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 1 to 4 points over 30 sessions.
Compare AGNC Investment Corp. and Rithm Capital Corp. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Price-return comparison using available daily close history.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000
Based on available close-price history. Distribution reinvestment is not added unless already reflected in the source series.
Compare AGNC and RITM against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Momentum25%31 vs 49RITM +18
- Quality30%48 vs 36AGNC +12
- Risk Resilience15%47 vs 58RITM +11
- Value30%69 vs 75RITM +6
5 of 6 evidence groups favor RITM. RITM’s edge is concentrated in momentum and risk resilience; AGNC keeps a meaningful quality edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-05, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-04.
No factor moved materially.
No new signals fired.
No factor moved materially.
No new signals fired.
RITM's lead was unchanged in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — AGNC and RITM both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
RITM (Rithm Capital Corp.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by momentum and risk resilience.
AGNC (AGNC Investment Corp.): the counter-case, on quality, fundamentals.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
RITMRITM on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value at 30% each.
Growth
RITMRITM on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
RITMRITM on the peer-relative Value factor, by 6 points.
Momentum
RITMRITM on the Momentum factor, by 18 points.
Lower downside
RITMRITM on Risk Resilience, by 11 points.
Analyst upside
RITMRITM on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | AGNC | RITM | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +9.6% | +31.9% | RITM has more room |
| Target dispersion | +8.6% | +15% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Hold | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 3 | 4 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
5 of 6 covered evidence groups favor RITM. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | RITM | 50 vs 54 |
| Fundamentals | AGNCon balance | revenue growth -100% vs -7.1%; EPS growth 4.1% vs -66.7%; TTM ROE 18.3% vs 5.5%; gross margin 75.7% vs 79.7%; operating margin 112.8% vs 25.6% — AGNC takes 3 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | RITM | Value 69 vs 75 |
| Technicals | RITM | Price vs 50-day -2.2% vs 3.5%; vs 200-day -1.1% vs -0.3% |
| Risk Resilience | RITM | Risk Resilience 47 vs 58 |
| Analyst expectations | RITM | Target upside 9.6% vs 31.9% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of AGNC and RITM and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.
- The AIQ gap is narrow at 4 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- 5 of 6 covered evidence groups point the same way. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The leader's advantage has been widening. (supports the conclusion holding)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on RITM.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Apr 24 – Sep 5RITM lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 1 to 4 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- RITM +4
- 50 vs 54
- 7 sessions ago
- RITM +3
- 50 vs 53
- 30 sessions ago
- RITM +1
- 59 vs 60
- 90 sessions ago
- AGNC +11
- 61 vs 50
The lead changed hands 5 times in this window, most recently on Aug 31 when RITM moved ahead of AGNC.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
1 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (1.09%)
- MACD Bearish Crossover — bearish, momentum, short horizon
0 bullish / 2 bearish
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (3.89%)
- MACD Bearish Crossover — bearish, momentum, short horizon
AGNC is conflicted, so the timing case there is weaker than the score alone suggests.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -0.09%, AIQ 0 points).
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +0.3%, AIQ 0 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1AGNC closes the Momentum gap — currently 18 points behind, the largest single contributor to RITM's edge.
- 2AGNC's MACD Bearish Crossover resolves — a bearish momentum rule currently active against it.
- 3RITM starts generating bearish momentum or trend signals.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — the composite weights Quality and Value at 30% each, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
AGNC leads on balance| Metric | AGNC | RITM |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | -100% | -7.1% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 4.1% | -66.7% |
| Gross margin | 75.7% | 79.7% |
| Operating margin | 112.8% | 25.6% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 18.3% | 5.5% |
| Debt to equity | 7.16 | 4.72 |
Performance
RITM leads 4 of 6 windows| Metric | AGNC | RITM |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | -2.3% | 0% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -1.8% | -1.1% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | 4.7% | 10.4% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 0.1% | 2.7% |
| Year to date | -0.7% | -7.5% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 7.7% | -18.4% |
Technicals
RITM has the stronger structure| Metric | AGNC | RITM |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 37.3 | 42.7 |
| ADX (14) | 13.5 | 20.4 |
| Price vs 50-day | -2.2% | 3.5% |
| Price vs 200-day | -1.1% | -0.3% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 13.8% | 16.3% |
Risk
RITM is the more resilient| Metric | AGNC | RITM |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.66 | 0.71 |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.12 | -0.96 |
| Sortino ratio | 0.18 | -1.35 |
| Max drawdown | -20.4% | -30.5% |
| Current drawdown | -12.5% | -20.1% |
| Annualized volatility | 20.4% | 24.1% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -1.9% | -2.4% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, AGNC or RITM?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, RITM is the stronger of the two as of Sep 6, 2026, scoring 54 against AGNC's 50. The edge comes from momentum and risk resilience. AGNC is not without a case — it holds the better quality profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is AGNC or RITM the better buy right now?
RITM carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 6, 2026, and the comparison is rated Competitive — 5 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Competitive rating means the two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.
Why does the AIQ Score favor RITM over AGNC?
The composite weights Quality at 30%, Value at 30%, Momentum at 25% and Risk Resilience at 15%. RITM leads Momentum by 18 points; AGNC leads Quality by 12 points; RITM leads Risk Resilience by 11 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, AGNC or RITM?
Analyst price targets imply +9.6% upside for AGNC and +31.9% for RITM, so the Street currently favors RITM. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, AGNC or RITM?
RITM is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. RITM on the peer-relative Value factor, by 6 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, AGNC or RITM?
RITM on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, AGNC or RITM?
RITM on the Momentum factor, by 18 points. Momentum carries 25% of the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, AGNC or RITM?
RITM is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. RITM on Risk Resilience, by 11 points. The Risk Resilience factor weights 15% of the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is AGNC more profitable than RITM?
The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 75.7% vs 79.7%; operating margin 112.8% vs 25.6%; ttm roe 18.3% vs 5.5%. AGNC leads on two measures and RITM on one measure, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.
Is RITM's lead over AGNC getting stronger or weaker?
RITM lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 1 to 4 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-04-24 and 2026-09-05. The lead has changed hands 5 times in that window, most recently on 2026-08-31, when RITM moved ahead of AGNC.
What would change the AGNC vs RITM verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: AGNC closes the Momentum gap — currently 18 points behind, the largest single contributor to RITM's edge; AGNC's MACD Bearish Crossover resolves — a bearish momentum rule currently active against it; RITM starts generating bearish momentum or trend signals; a regime shift changes factor weighting — the composite weights Quality and Value at 30% each, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about AGNC and RITM?
AGNC: 1 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted. RITM: 0 bullish / 2 bearish. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on AGNC is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On RITM it is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon).
Compare AGNC and RITM with others
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality (30%), Value (30%), Momentum (25%) and Risk (15%). Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.