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M&T Bank Corporation (MTB) Stock Analysis

M&T Bank Corporation (MTB) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.

MTB Stock Analysis Summary

M&T Bank Corporation (MTB) currently has an AIQ Score of 60/100, indicating a neutral setup. Risk is the strongest factor at 78/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 48/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 21, 2026 · Market-close data

MTB at a Glance

Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.

MetricCurrent
Price$219.51
AIQ Score60/100
Overall ViewNeutral
Technical Analysis ConsensusNeutral
Market Cap$31.07B
P/E Ratio (TTM)11.19
Forward P/E—
EPS (quarter ended 2026-09-30)$5.08
Revenue (quarter ended 2026-09-30)$3.41B
Dividend Yield (TTM)2.79%
Beta0.62
Volume1.03M
52-week range$179.32-$255.95
RSI 1454.19
50-Day SMA$230.15
200-Day SMA$224.70
Analyst Price Target$258.75
Next EarningsJan 19, 2027
As of Oct 21, 2026 · Market close

MTBM&T Bank Corporation

Financial Services / Banks - Regional

Low Priority

Above Peers

NeutralEdge 7/10
$219.51+$1.16 (+0.53%)

Latest quote

  • Momentum
    48
  • Value
    55
  • Quality
    67
  • Risk resilience
    78
  • Sentiment
    —
algovestiq.comScore data as of Oct 21, 2026

MTB Stock Analysis Summary

M&T Bank Corporation (MTB) currently has an AIQ Score of 60/100, indicating a neutral setup. Risk resilience is the strongest factor at 78/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 48/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.

Updated Oct 21, 2026 · Market-close data
AIQ Composite Posture: Mixed

In a neutral regime, MTB has AIQ Score of 60/100 with Risk resilience base of 78/100 and fading Momentum at 48/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.

Signal Conflict Detected

Risk resilience (78/100) leads while Momentum (48/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.

Financial Services · 0.53% stock move · MTB classified in Banks - Regional.

Current Evidence

NeutralMTB is in a neutral AIQ regime; Risk resilience is the strongest visible factor at 78/100.
Core coverage reflects visible evidence only

AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary

Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.

Is MTB Bullish or Bearish Right Now?

MTB currently has a neutral overall setup. Risk Resilience is the strongest factor at 78/100, while Momentum is weakest at 48/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.

Bull Case
  • - Quality is supportive at 67/100.
  • - Risk Resilience is supportive at 78/100.
  • - Analyst target implies +17.88% upside from the latest quote.
  • - Technical consensus has more buy votes than sell votes (21 vs 17).
Bear Case
  • - Price is -2.31% below its 200-day SMA.

Current Consensus

MTB's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Neutral, with 21 buy, 7 neutral, and 17 sell votes. MTB's 14-day RSI is 54.19, which places the stock in a neutral momentum range. MTB's beta is 0.62, indicating lower market sensitivity than the broad market.

Signal Confidence
Moderate agreement

What Changed in MTB?

The largest recent change in MTB is Momentum moving up by 10.0 points over the available 7-day comparison window. Risk Resilience remains the strongest visible factor.

AIQ Score
+2.0
Momentum
+10.0
Quality
+0.0
Risk
+0.0

What Would Change the MTB Outlook?

The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.

Bullish confirmation

AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.

Bearish deterioration

AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.

MTB Decision Framework

Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for M&T Bank Corporation.

M&T Bank Corporation (MTB) Stock Analysis

M&T Bank Corporation has an AIQ Score of 60/100 in a Neutral regime. Risk is strongest at 78/100. Beta is 0.62, below market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.

Evidence LayerPublic Evidence
Regime ContextMTB is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 60/100.
Signal ConflictThe primary conflict is that risk leads at 78/100 while momentum lags at 48/100.
Factor EvidenceMomentum 48/100 · Value 55/100 · Quality 67/100 · Risk 78/100
PersistenceCurrent snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro.

Current Setup Checklist

Factor strengthPass

Risk is the strongest factor at 78/100.

TimingWait

Momentum is 48/100 and RSI (14) is 54.2.

Regime fitWait

MTB is in a Neutral regime at 60/100.

Risk controlPass

Risk factor is 78/100 with beta 0.62 and annual volatility 21.22%.

ConflictWait

Current conflict: risk leads at 78/100 while momentum lags at 48/100.

AIQ Score
60/100
Price
$219.51
Beta
0.62
RSI (14)
54.2

MTB Research Cluster

Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.

MTB Fundamentals

MTB valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.

Revenue
$3.41B
Net income
$775M
Free cash flow
$1.25B
View full MTB fundamental analysis

MTB Technical Analysis

MTB technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.

Technical Analysis Consensus
Neutral
RSI 14
54.19
Price vs SMA-50
-4.62%
View full MTB technical analysis

MTB Stock Catalysts

Track MTB earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.

Next earnings
Jan 19, 2027
Analyst target
$258.75
News items
0
View MTB earnings and stock catalysts

MTB Dividend Analysis

MTB dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.

Dividend yield
2.73%
Annual dividend
$6.00
Payout ratio
35.38%
View MTB dividend history and analysis

MTB Financial Data

MTB revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.

Quarter revenue
$3.41B
EPS
$5.08
Periods
4
View MTB financials

MTB Risk Analysis

MTB volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.

Beta
0.62
Risk score
78/100
1Y volatility
21.22%
View MTB risk analysis

MTB Stock News

MTB stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.

News items
0
Updated
—
Sentiment
—
Read MTB stock news

MTB vs Money Center Banks Peers

Current peer cohort: MTB · PNC · RF · STT · TFC. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.

PeerAIQValueMomentumRiskSharpe1Y VolatilityCompare
MTB
Current stock
60/10055/10048/10078/1000.8121.22%Current
PNC
PNC Financial
54/10053/10049/10065/1000.8821.21%MTB vs PNC
RF
Regions Financial
60/10056/10056/10065/1000.6123.18%MTB vs RF
STT
State Street
53/10053/10034/10072/1001.5524.16%MTB vs STT
TFC
Truist Financial
55/10058/10051/10063/1000.3523.26%MTB vs TFC
Pairwise Compare links: PNC · RF · STT · TFCMTB vs PNCMTB vs RFMTB vs STTMTB vs TFCCompare cohort

Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Oct 21, 2026.

About the AIQ Score

Methodology for the current stock evidence.

As of Oct 21, 2026 · Market close

The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.

View AIQ methodology

Factor Diagnostics

A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.

Calculator
Calculate a MTB stock return scenario

Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.

Calculate stock return

AIQ Component Profile

Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.

Catalyst preview

Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.

Open catalysts
Quarterly evidence

4 recent quarterly periods are available for review.

Checked Oct 22, 2026

AIQ Pro

Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.

Fundamentals Verdict

Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.

Current TTM P/E
11.19
As of Oct 21, 2026
Revenue growth
—
Gross margin
71.01%
Current debt / equity
0.23
Latest quarterly evidence

Latest period Sep 30, 2026.

Review fundamentals
Quarter revenue
$3.41B
Quarter net income
$775M
Quarter free cash flow
$1.25B

Market Confirmation

Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.

Trend
Mixed
Momentum
Mixed
RSI 14
54.19
MACD
-3.4

Risk Alignment

Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.

Resilience
78/100
Beta
0.62
Annual volatility
21.22%
Max drawdown
-17.55%

MTB Stock FAQ

What is MTB stock price today?

M&T Bank Corporation's current stock price is $219.51. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.

Is MTB bullish or bearish right now?

MTB's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.

What is MTB's market cap?

MTB's market cap is $31.07B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.

What is MTB's current P/E ratio?

MTB's current P/E ratio is 11.19 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.

What is MTB's RSI?

MTB's 14-day RSI is 54.19 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.

Is MTB above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

MTB is -4.62% from its 50-day SMA and -2.31% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.

When is MTB's next earnings date?

MTB's next earnings date is currently listed as Jan 19, 2027. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.

Does MTB pay a dividend?

MTB's dividend yield is 2.79% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.