Stock Analysis
The Progressive Corporation (PGR) Stock Analysis
The Progressive Corporation (PGR) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.
The Progressive Corporation (PGR) currently has an AIQ Score of 69/100, indicating a neutral setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 83/100. Risk is the weakest current factor at 46/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.
PGR at a Glance
Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.
| Metric | Current |
|---|---|
| Price | $231.28 |
| AIQ Score | 69/100 |
| Overall View | Neutral |
| Technical Analysis Consensus | Strong Buy |
| Market Cap | $126.96B |
| P/E Ratio (TTM) | 10.98 |
| Forward P/E | — |
| EPS (quarter ended 2026-09-30) | $4.37 |
| Revenue (quarter ended 2026-09-30) | $23.18B |
| Dividend Yield (TTM) | 6.36% |
| Beta | 0.24 |
| Volume | 1.94M |
| 52-week range | $189.20-$239.38 |
| RSI 14 | 64.77 |
| 50-Day SMA | $217.47 |
| 200-Day SMA | $209.14 |
| Analyst Price Target | $222.30 |
| Next Earnings | Jan 27, 2027 |
PGRThe Progressive Corporation
Financial Services / Insurance - Property & Casualty
Leader
Sector Leader
Latest quote
- Momentum77
- Value59
- Quality83
- Risk resilience46
- Sentiment—
PGR Stock Analysis Summary
The Progressive Corporation (PGR) currently has an AIQ Score of 69/100, indicating a neutral setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 83/100. Risk resilience is the weakest current factor at 46/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.
In a neutral regime, PGR has AIQ Score of 69/100 with Quality base of 83/100 and fading Risk resilience at 46/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.
Quality (83/100) leads while Risk resilience (46/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.
Financial Services · 0.48% stock move · PGR classified in Insurance - Property & Casualty.
Current Evidence
AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary
Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.
Is PGR Bullish or Bearish Right Now?
PGR currently has a neutral overall setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 83/100, while Risk Resilience is weakest at 46/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.
- - Quality is supportive at 83/100.
- - Momentum is constructive at 77/100.
- - Price is +5.84% above its 50-day SMA.
- - Technical consensus has more buy votes than sell votes (37 vs 6).
- - Analyst target implies -3.88% downside from the latest quote.
Current Consensus
PGR's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Strong Buy, with 37 buy, 2 neutral, and 6 sell votes. PGR's 14-day RSI is 64.77, which places the stock in a constructive momentum range. PGR's beta is 0.24, indicating lower market sensitivity than the broad market.
What Changed in PGR?
The largest recent change in PGR is Momentum moving down by 6.0 points over the available 7-day comparison window. Quality remains the strongest visible factor.
What Would Change the PGR Outlook?
The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.
AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.
AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.
PGR Decision Framework
Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for The Progressive Corporation.
The Progressive Corporation (PGR) Stock Analysis
The Progressive Corporation has an AIQ Score of 69/100 in a Neutral regime. Quality is strongest at 83/100. Beta is 0.24, below market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.
| Evidence Layer | Public Evidence |
|---|---|
| Regime Context | PGR is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 69/100. |
| Signal Conflict | The primary conflict is that quality leads at 83/100 while risk lags at 46/100. |
| Factor Evidence | Momentum 77/100 · Value 59/100 · Quality 83/100 · Risk 46/100 |
| Persistence | Current snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro. |
Current Setup Checklist
Quality is the strongest factor at 83/100.
Momentum is 77/100 and RSI (14) is 64.8.
PGR is in a Neutral regime at 69/100.
Risk factor is 46/100 with beta 0.24 and annual volatility 27.29%.
Current conflict: quality leads at 83/100 while risk lags at 46/100.
PGR Research Cluster
Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.
PGR Fundamentals
PGR valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.
PGR Technical Analysis
PGR technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.
PGR Stock Catalysts
Track PGR earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.
PGR Dividend Analysis
PGR dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.
PGR Financial Data
PGR revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.
PGR Risk Analysis
PGR volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.
PGR Stock News
PGR stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.
PGR vs Insurance Peers
Current peer cohort: PGR · PRU · TRV · UNM · WRB. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.
| Peer | AIQ | Value | Momentum | Risk | Sharpe | 1Y Volatility | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PGR Current stock | 69/100 | 59/100 | 77/100 | 46/100 | 0.37 | 27.29% | Current |
| PRU Prudential Financial | 60/100 | 69/100 | 59/100 | 74/100 | 0.58 | 22.59% | PGR vs PRU |
| TRV Travelers Companies | 68/100 | 60/100 | 83/100 | 62/100 | 1.84 | 20.70% | PGR vs TRV |
| UNM Unum Group | 54/100 | 61/100 | 48/100 | 66/100 | 0.8 | 23.79% | PGR vs UNM |
| WRB W.R. Berkley | 65/100 | 50/100 | 64/100 | 59/100 | 0.04 | 22.17% | PGR vs WRB |
Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Oct 29, 2026.
About the AIQ Score
Methodology for the current stock evidence.
The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.
View AIQ methodologyFactor Diagnostics
A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.
Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.
AIQ Component Profile
Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.
Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.
Open catalysts6 recent quarterly periods are available for review.
Checked Oct 31, 2026
Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.
Fundamentals Verdict
Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.
Latest period Sep 30, 2026.
Market Confirmation
Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.
Risk Alignment
Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.
Continue Researching PGR
Open the detailed evidence pages and workflows behind the stock overview read.
Premium Feature
Full AIQ Analysis
AIQ Intelligence
AIQ Pro for PGR
Scenario Analysis
AIQ Scenario Builder
Portfolio Implication
Related Links
PGR Stock FAQ
What is PGR stock price today?
The Progressive Corporation's current stock price is $231.28. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.
Is PGR bullish or bearish right now?
PGR's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.
What is PGR's market cap?
PGR's market cap is $126.96B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.
What is PGR's current P/E ratio?
PGR's current P/E ratio is 10.98 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.
What is PGR's RSI?
PGR's 14-day RSI is 64.77 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.
Is PGR above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?
PGR is 5.84% from its 50-day SMA and 10.06% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.
When is PGR's next earnings date?
PGR's next earnings date is currently listed as Jan 27, 2027. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.
Does PGR pay a dividend?
PGR's dividend yield is 6.36% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 30, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.