Stock Analysis
Upstart Holdings, Inc. (UPST) Stock Analysis
Upstart Holdings, Inc. (UPST) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.
Upstart Holdings, Inc. (UPST) currently has an AIQ Score of 33/100, indicating a bearish setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 38/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 24/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.
UPST at a Glance
Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.
| Metric | Current |
|---|---|
| Price | $25.59 |
| AIQ Score | 33/100 |
| Overall View | Bearish |
| Technical Analysis Consensus | Strong Sell |
| Market Cap | $2.62B |
| P/E Ratio | 25.56 |
| Forward P/E | — |
| EPS | $0.17 |
| Revenue TTM | $377.24M |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| Beta | 2.17 |
| Volume | 3.45M |
| 52-week range | $23.97-$71.38 |
| RSI 14 | 24.76 |
| 50-Day SMA | $29.55 |
| 200-Day SMA | $33.83 |
| Analyst Price Target | $40.33 |
| Next Earnings | Nov 3, 2026 |
UPST
OverviewUPST Stock Analysis Summary
Upstart Holdings, Inc. (UPST) currently has an AIQ Score of 33/100, indicating a bearish setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 38/100. Momentum is the weakest current factor at 24/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.
In a bearish regime, UPST has AIQ Score of 33/100 with Quality base of 38/100 and fading Momentum at 24/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.
Financial Services · 1.95% stock move · UPST classified in Financial - Credit Services.
Current Evidence
AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary
Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.
Is UPST Bullish or Bearish Right Now?
UPST currently has a bearish overall setup. Quality is the strongest factor at 38/100, while Momentum is weakest at 24/100. The current evidence suggests a defensive setup.
- - Analyst target implies +57.60% upside from the latest quote.
- - Value is the current constraint at 37/100.
- - Momentum is weak at 24/100.
- - Risk Resilience is weak at 27/100.
- - Price is -24.36% below its 200-day SMA.
- - Technical consensus has more sell votes than buy votes (37 vs 7).
Current Consensus
UPST's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Strong Sell, with 7 buy, 1 neutral, and 37 sell votes. UPST's 14-day RSI is 24.76, which places the stock in an oversold momentum range. UPST's beta is 2.17, indicating greater market sensitivity than the broad market.
What Changed in UPST?
Recent score-change history is not available in the current snapshot. These are the latest market-close scores instead.
What Would Change the UPST Outlook?
The current bearish outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.
AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.
AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.
UPST Decision Framework
Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for Upstart Holdings, Inc..
Upstart Holdings, Inc. (UPST) Stock Analysis
Upstart Holdings, Inc. has an AIQ Score of 33/100 in a Defensive regime. Quality is strongest at 38/100. Beta is 2.17, above market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.
| Evidence Layer | Public Evidence |
|---|---|
| Regime Context | UPST is in a Defensive AIQ regime with score 33/100. |
| Signal Conflict | The primary conflict is that quality leads at 38/100 while momentum lags at 24/100. |
| Factor Evidence | Momentum 24/100 · Value 37/100 · Quality 38/100 · Risk 27/100 |
| Persistence | Current snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro. |
Current Setup Checklist
Quality is the strongest factor at 38/100.
Momentum is 24/100 and RSI (14) is 24.8.
UPST is in a Defensive regime at 33/100.
Risk factor is 27/100 with beta 2.17 and annual volatility 65.76%.
Current conflict: quality leads at 38/100 while momentum lags at 24/100.
UPST Research Cluster
Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.
UPST Fundamentals
UPST valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.
UPST Technical Analysis
UPST technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.
UPST Stock Catalysts
Track UPST earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.
UPST Dividend Analysis
UPST dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.
UPST Financial Data
UPST revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.
UPST Risk Analysis
UPST volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.
UPST Stock News
UPST stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.
UPST vs Fintech & Payments Peers
Current peer cohort: UPST · SOFI · V · HOOD · WEX. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.
| Peer | AIQ | Value | Momentum | Risk | Sharpe | 1Y Volatility | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UPST Current stock | 33/100 | 37/100 | 24/100 | 27/100 | -1.09 | 65.76% | Current |
| SOFI SoFi Technologies | 38/100 | 27/100 | 32/100 | 23/100 | -0.45 | 57.69% | UPST vs SOFI |
| V Visa | 58/100 | 24/100 | 55/100 | 64/100 | 0.35 | 22.19% | UPST vs V |
| HOOD Robinhood | 44/100 | 24/100 | 67/100 | 27/100 | 0.24 | 72.20% | UPST vs HOOD |
| WEX WEX Inc | 58/100 | 72/100 | 46/100 | 55/100 | 0.41 | 40.29% | UPST vs WEX |
Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Sep 11, 2026.
Popular UPST Comparisons
How UPST scores against the names it is most often compared with.
About the AIQ Score
Methodology for the current stock evidence.
The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.
View AIQ methodologyFactor Diagnostics
A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.
Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.
AIQ Component Profile
Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.
Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.
Open catalysts7 recent quarterly periods are available for review.
Checked Sep 12, 2026
Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.
Fundamentals Verdict
Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.
Latest period Jun 30, 2026.
Market Confirmation
Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.
Risk Alignment
Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.
Continue Researching UPST
Open the detailed evidence pages and workflows behind the stock overview read.
Premium Feature
Full AIQ Analysis
AIQ Intelligence
AIQ Pro for UPST
Scenario Analysis
AIQ Scenario Builder
Portfolio Implication
Related Links
UPST Stock FAQ
What is UPST stock price today?
Upstart Holdings, Inc.'s current stock price is $25.59. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.
Is UPST bullish or bearish right now?
UPST's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.
What is UPST's market cap?
UPST's market cap is $2.62B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.
What is UPST's current P/E ratio?
UPST's current P/E ratio is 25.56 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.
What is UPST's RSI?
UPST's 14-day RSI is 24.76 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.
Is UPST above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?
UPST is -13.41% from its 50-day SMA and -24.36% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.
When is UPST's next earnings date?
UPST's next earnings date is currently listed as Nov 3, 2026. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.
Does UPST pay a dividend?
UPST's dividend yield is 0.00% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Sep 11, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.