Stock Analysis
United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) Stock Analysis
United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) stock analysis covering valuation, fundamentals, technical indicators, risk, AIQ Momentum, analyst catalysts, dividends, and the current AIQ Score.
United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) currently has an AIQ Score of 60/100, indicating a neutral setup. Momentum is the strongest factor at 75/100. Quality is the weakest current factor at 38/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.
UPS at a Glance
Crawlable current metrics from the latest market-close stock snapshot.
| Metric | Current |
|---|---|
| Price | $99.57 |
| AIQ Score | 60/100 |
| Overall View | Neutral |
| Technical Analysis Consensus | Buy |
| Market Cap | $87.22B |
| P/E Ratio (TTM) | 19.05 |
| Forward P/E | — |
| EPS (quarter ended 2026-06-30) | $0.71 |
| Revenue (quarter ended 2026-06-30) | $22.83B |
| Dividend Yield (TTM) | 6.39% |
| Beta | 1.04 |
| Volume | 4.64M |
| 52-week range | $86.30-$122.41 |
| RSI 14 | 75.91 |
| 50-Day SMA | $99.07 |
| 200-Day SMA | $104.67 |
| Analyst Price Target | $118.95 |
| Next Earnings | Oct 27, 2026 |
UPSUnited Parcel Service, Inc.
Industrials / Integrated Freight & Logistics
Relative Leader / Watch
Strong Relative Position
Latest quote
- Momentum75
- Value69
- Quality38
- Risk resilience64
- Sentiment68
UPS Stock Analysis Summary
United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) currently has an AIQ Score of 60/100, indicating a neutral setup. Momentum is the strongest factor at 75/100. Quality is the weakest current factor at 38/100. Technical, fundamental, catalyst, dividend, and risk evidence should be read together at the latest market-close snapshot.
In a neutral regime, UPS has AIQ Score of 60/100 with Momentum base of 75/100 and fading Quality at 38/100. Wait for component alignment before adding exposure.
Momentum (75/100) leads while Quality (38/100) lags. This cross-factor spread creates entry timing uncertainty.
Industrials · 1.07% stock move · UPS classified in Integrated Freight & Logistics.
Current Evidence
AlgovestIQ Evidence Summary
Current consensus, supporting evidence, recent changes, and what would strengthen or weaken the view.
Is UPS Bullish or Bearish Right Now?
UPS currently has a neutral overall setup. Momentum is the strongest factor at 75/100, while Quality is weakest at 38/100. The current evidence suggests a mixed rather than strongly bullish or bearish setup.
- - Momentum is constructive at 75/100.
- - Risk Resilience is supportive at 64/100.
- - Price is +0.51% above its 50-day SMA.
- - Analyst target implies +19.46% upside from the latest quote.
- - Technical consensus has more buy votes than sell votes (29 vs 15).
- - Price is -4.87% below its 200-day SMA.
Current Consensus
UPS's Technical Analysis Consensus is currently Buy, with 29 buy, 1 neutral, and 15 sell votes. UPS's 14-day RSI is 75.91, which places the stock in an overbought momentum range. UPS's beta is 1.04, indicating market sensitivity broadly in line with the market.
What Changed in UPS?
The largest recent change in UPS is Momentum moving up by 16.0 points over the available 7-day comparison window. Momentum remains the strongest visible factor.
What Would Change the UPS Outlook?
The current neutral outlook could improve if AIQ moves above 70, momentum recovers, earnings revisions strengthen, and price confirms a stronger trend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It would weaken if AIQ falls below 40, price loses long-term moving-average support, analyst expectations deteriorate, or risk evidence worsens.
AIQ > 70, RSI above 55, price above SMA-50/SMA-200, and positive catalyst or estimate-revision evidence.
AIQ below 40, RSI below 45, loss of SMA-200, negative revisions, or rising volatility and drawdown risk.
UPS Decision Framework
Public evidence layers, setup checks, and risk context for United Parcel Service, Inc..
United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) Stock Analysis
United Parcel Service, Inc. has an AIQ Score of 60/100 in a Neutral regime. Momentum is strongest at 75/100. Beta is 1.05, close to market sensitivity. Review the supporting stock factors together before drawing a conclusion from any single score.
| Evidence Layer | Public Evidence |
|---|---|
| Regime Context | UPS is in a Neutral AIQ regime with score 60/100. |
| Signal Conflict | The primary conflict is that momentum leads at 75/100 while quality lags at 38/100. |
| Factor Evidence | Momentum 75/100 · Value 69/100 · Quality 38/100 · Risk 64/100 · Sentiment 68/100 |
| Persistence | Current snapshot evidence is shown; historical persistence remains in AIQ Pro. |
Current Setup Checklist
Momentum is the strongest factor at 75/100.
Momentum is 75/100 and RSI (14) is 75.9.
UPS is in a Neutral regime at 60/100.
Risk factor is 64/100 with beta 1.05 and annual volatility 31.07%.
Current conflict: momentum leads at 75/100 while quality lags at 38/100.
UPS Research Cluster
Ticker-specific paths for valuation, technical analysis, catalysts, dividends, financials, risk, and news.
UPS Fundamentals
UPS valuation, profitability, growth, margins, balance-sheet strength, and free cash flow.
UPS Technical Analysis
UPS technical setup based on RSI, MACD, moving averages, AIQ Momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pivots.
UPS Stock Catalysts
Track UPS earnings, analyst ratings, price targets, estimate revisions, stock news, and upcoming events.
UPS Dividend Analysis
UPS dividend yield, annual dividend, payout ratio, payment history, and income reliability context.
UPS Financial Data
UPS revenue, earnings, income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, valuation ratios, and stock metrics.
UPS Risk Analysis
UPS volatility, beta, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, VaR, and downside resilience.
UPS Stock News
UPS stock news, market tone, recent headlines, and catalyst context.
UPS vs Transportation & Logistics Peers
Current peer cohort: UPS · WAB · XPO · AAL · ALK. Compare AIQ, factor scores, Sharpe ratio and 1-year volatility in one indexable view.
| Peer | AIQ | Value | Momentum | Risk | Sharpe | 1Y Volatility | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UPS Current stock | 60/100 | 69/100 | 75/100 | 64/100 | 0.47 | 31.07% | Current |
| WAB Wabtec | 53/100 | 43/100 | 63/100 | 65/100 | 1.48 | 25.96% | UPS vs WAB |
| XPO XPO | 44/100 | 40/100 | 70/100 | 42/100 | 0.93 | 42.33% | UPS vs XPO |
| AAL American Airlines | 46/100 | 62/100 | 30/100 | 34/100 | 0.17 | 48.17% | UPS vs AAL |
| ALK Alaska Air Group | 39/100 | 60/100 | 24/100 | 37/100 | -0.53 | 51.92% | UPS vs ALK |
Peer cohort is resolved dynamically from the AlgovestIQ universe taxonomy and Compare relationship graph. Data as of Oct 21, 2026.
About the AIQ Score
Methodology for the current stock evidence.
The AlgovestIQ AIQ Score combines multiple dimensions of stock evidence, including momentum, valuation exposure, quality, risk resilience, sentiment context, and timing signals. It is a descriptive research score, not a guarantee of future performance or a personalized recommendation.
View AIQ methodologyFactor Diagnostics
A compact bridge from the AIQ score to the evidence tabs.
Open the return calculator with stock context while purchase price, shares, dates and fees remain user inputs.
AIQ Component Profile
Compare the five component scores on one consistent 0–100 scale.
Review earnings timing, revisions, news pressure, and prior event reactions in one place.
Open catalysts3 recent quarterly periods are available for review.
Checked Oct 21, 2026
Explore factor drivers, conflicts, persistence, and scenario sensitivity in the advanced workspace.
Fundamentals Verdict
Current snapshot fields are separate from reported-quarter statement tables.
Latest period Jun 30, 2026.
Market Confirmation
Technicals are summarized first, with the indicator library behind it.
Risk Alignment
Higher resilience is stronger; exposure metrics stay separate.
Continue Researching UPS
Open the detailed evidence pages and workflows behind the stock overview read.
Premium Feature
Full AIQ Analysis
AIQ Intelligence
AIQ Pro for UPS
Scenario Analysis
AIQ Scenario Builder
Portfolio Implication
Related Links
UPS Stock FAQ
What is UPS stock price today?
United Parcel Service, Inc.'s current stock price is $99.57. Use the live quote with AIQ Score, news, and risk context rather than treating price alone as a decision signal.
Is UPS bullish or bearish right now?
UPS's bullish or bearish read depends on the current AIQ Score, factor alignment, technical analysis consensus, valuation, risk, and catalyst evidence. A mixed setup should be treated differently from a broad confirmation across those signals.
What is UPS's market cap?
UPS's market cap is $87.22B based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Use it with P/E ratio, revenue, and growth metrics to frame company size, valuation, and peer comparisons.
What is UPS's current P/E ratio?
UPS's current P/E ratio is 19.05 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Read it with revenue growth, margins, EPS, cash flow, and peer valuation rather than using P/E alone.
What is UPS's RSI?
UPS's 14-day RSI is 75.91 based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. RSI should be interpreted with MACD, moving averages, volume, volatility, and price trend.
Is UPS above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?
UPS is 0.51% from its 50-day SMA and -4.87% from its 200-day SMA based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Moving-average position should be read with momentum and broader AIQ evidence.
When is UPS's next earnings date?
UPS's next earnings date is currently listed as Oct 27, 2026. Earnings can reset revenue, EPS, price target, analyst rating, and catalyst expectations.
Does UPS pay a dividend?
UPS's dividend yield is 6.39% based on the latest completed market-close snapshot from Oct 21, 2026. Dividend yield should be read with payout ratio, free cash flow, growth, and balance-sheet strength.